AGM · Expected Move

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

The expected move for AGM is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

AGM straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current AGM Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$16.45
7-Day Straddle
$16.45
30-Day ATM IV
34.8%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to AGM's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
AGM Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261019 $16.45 $16.45 34.8% 100%
20261016 $16.75 $5.93 31.9% 82%
20261015 $16.90 $6.30 32.0% 83%
20261014 $17.15 $6.65 31.8% 81%
20261013 $17.40 $6.88 32.0% 83%
20261012 $17.20 $6.50 31.9% 83%
20261009 $17.15 $7.38 30.0% 56%
20261008 $17.60 $6.83 30.9% 69%
20261007 $18.05 $7.67 31.0% 70%
20261006 $18.70 $8.50 30.2% 60%
20261005 $19.70 $9.10 30.0% 57%
20261002 $9.32 $9.32 29.0% 43%
20261001 $9.00 $9.00 29.3% 48%
20260930 $8.80 $8.80 28.9% 43%
20260929 $9.72 $9.72 28.4% 36%
20260928 $11.00 $11.00 29.2% 47%
20260925 $11.00 $11.00 27.1% 19%
20260924 $11.45 $11.45 27.6% 26%
20260923 $11.88 $11.88 26.9% 16%
20260922 $11.90 $11.90 27.9% 29%
20260921 $12.05 $12.05 27.1% 19%
20260918 $12.95 $4.65 26.4% 10%
20260917 $13.35 $5.90 26.2% 6%
20260916 $14.50 $5.22 29.0% 44%
20260915 $14.80 $7.30 27.2% 20%
20260914 $15.35 $8.50 26.6% 10%
20260911 $14.95 $8.45 25.9% 2%
20260910 $15.15 $9.32 26.9% 14%
20260909 $15.40 $9.75 27.4% 19%
20260908 $16.15 $9.78 27.1% 16%
20260904 $16.20 $9.12 25.7% 0%
20260903 $16.30 $10.35 26.4% 0%
20260902 $10.28 $10.28 26.5% 1%
20260901 $10.05 $10.05 27.1% 7%
20260831 $10.10 $10.10 26.8% 4%
20260828 $11.25 $11.25 26.4% 0%
20260827 $11.15 $11.15 26.8% 4%
20260826 $11.50 $11.50 26.8% 4%
20260825 $11.80 $11.80 26.8% 4%
20260824 $12.50 $12.50 27.3% 9%
20260821 $13.80 $3.35 28.2% 19%
20260820 $13.65 $5.05 27.4% 11%
20260819 $13.80 $4.33 26.5% 1%
20260818 $14.20 $4.35 26.7% 3%
20260817 $14.75 $5.18 27.0% 5%
20260814 $15.70 $7.00 27.0% 5%
20260813 $16.50 $7.30 27.8% 14%
20260812 $15.85 $7.97 26.4% 0%
20260811 $17.50 $9.60 27.5% 7%
20260810 $17.45 $11.50 28.2% 12%
20260807 — — 28.1% 9%
20260806 $18.95 $11.85 29.0% 16%
20260805 $11.30 $11.30 28.6% 13%
20260804 $12.20 $12.20 27.7% 6%
20260803 $11.55 $11.55 27.2% 2%
20260731 $11.38 $11.38 26.8% 0%
20260730 $13.70 $13.70 31.2% 24%
20260729 $14.55 $14.55 31.1% 23%
20260728 $14.95 $14.95 32.0% 30%
20260727 $14.30 $14.30 32.4% 33%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.