AJG · Expected Move

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

The expected move for AJG is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

AJG straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current AJG Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$21.65
7-Day Straddle
$7.20
30-Day ATM IV
35.5%
IV Rank
76%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to AJG's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
AJG Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261013 $21.65 $7.20 35.5% 76%
20261012 $21.70 $8.05 34.8% 69%
20261009 $22.05 $8.38 34.4% 65%
20261008 $23.10 $9.62 34.9% 70%
20261007 $21.80 $9.50 34.2% 63%
20261006 $22.75 $9.70 35.0% 72%
20261005 $22.40 $10.80 34.3% 64%
20261002 $11.65 $11.65 33.9% 60%
20261001 $12.30 $12.30 34.6% 67%
20260930 $12.65 $12.65 34.8% 69%
20260929 $13.35 $13.35 35.2% 74%
20260928 $13.95 $13.95 34.9% 70%
20260925 $13.95 $13.95 33.0% 50%
20260924 $14.65 $14.65 33.4% 54%
20260923 $15.15 $15.15 33.7% 57%
20260922 $15.50 $15.50 33.6% 57%
20260921 $15.80 $15.80 32.5% 45%
20260918 $16.30 $2.08 30.8% 27%
20260917 $17.10 $4.32 31.3% 31%
20260916 $18.45 $6.15 32.3% 43%
20260915 $18.35 $6.47 31.7% 36%
20260914 $19.65 $8.12 32.0% 39%
20260911 $18.10 $8.45 30.6% 24%
20260910 $19.25 $9.35 30.9% 27%
20260909 $20.60 $10.72 32.2% 41%
20260908 $20.25 $11.15 31.3% 24%
20260904 $20.80 $11.45 28.9% 4%
20260903 $22.15 $13.10 29.7% 11%
20260902 $13.45 $13.45 29.4% 8%
20260901 $13.35 $13.35 29.4% 9%
20260831 $13.80 $13.80 29.2% 7%
20260828 $14.50 $14.50 28.4% 0%
20260827 $14.60 $14.60 29.0% 0%
20260826 $15.65 $15.65 29.1% 0%
20260825 $16.15 $16.15 29.4% 3%
20260824 $17.00 $17.00 29.9% 7%
20260821 $17.40 $4.50 29.1% 0%
20260820 $17.45 $4.78 30.0% 4%
20260819 $17.70 $5.85 29.9% 3%
20260818 $17.90 $6.38 30.7% 10%
20260817 $17.60 $7.00 29.8% 3%
20260814 $18.40 $8.25 29.5% 0%
20260813 $19.75 $10.65 30.4% 8%
20260812 $20.00 $11.60 30.2% 6%
20260811 $20.60 $11.30 30.8% 11%
20260810 $20.85 $12.10 32.1% 23%
20260807 — — 32.3% 24%
20260806 $23.50 $14.60 34.8% 46%
20260805 $14.80 $14.80 34.8% 47%
20260804 $15.30 $15.30 35.2% 50%
20260803 $15.25 $15.25 33.6% 36%
20260731 $15.20 $15.20 32.1% 22%
20260730 $19.60 $19.60 36.1% 58%
20260729 $21.15 $21.15 37.7% 72%
20260728 $20.30 $20.30 36.1% 58%
20260727 $20.80 $20.80 37.6% 72%
20260724 $20.90 $20.90 37.6% 71%
20260723 $20.55 $20.55 37.1% 67%
20260722 $21.15 $21.15 37.7% 72%
20260721 $21.65 $21.65 37.4% 70%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.