ARI · Expected Move
APOLLO COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE FINANCE, INC.
The expected move for ARI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
ARI straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current ARI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$9.00
7-Day Straddle
$9.00
30-Day ATM IV
—
IV Rank
—
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ARI's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
ARI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261102 | $9.00 | $9.00 | — | — |
| 20261030 | $8.20 | $8.20 | 10.3% | 1% |
| 20261029 | $4.05 | $4.05 | 217.8% | 48% |
| 20261028 | $4.10 | $4.10 | 105.9% | 23% |
| 20261027 | $4.17 | $4.17 | 69.1% | 14% |
| 20261026 | $4.12 | $4.12 | 254.0% | 56% |
| 20261023 | $4.17 | $4.17 | — | — |
| 20261022 | $1.78 | $1.78 | — | — |
| 20261021 | $5.05 | $5.05 | 96.8% | 21% |
| 20261020 | $4.78 | $4.78 | 104.1% | 22% |
| 20261019 | $6.60 | $6.60 | — | — |
| 20261016 | $2.60 | $1.70 | 175.1% | 38% |
| 20261015 | $4.90 | $3.47 | — | — |
| 20261014 | $3.08 | $1.85 | 86.2% | 18% |
| 20261013 | $5.20 | $1.85 | — | — |
| 20261012 | $4.72 | $1.95 | — | — |
| 20261009 | $5.80 | $3.20 | — | — |
| 20261008 | $6.20 | $2.92 | 201.0% | 44% |
| 20261007 | $8.85 | $3.25 | 80.4% | 17% |
| 20261006 | $8.80 | $2.92 | 172.8% | 38% |
| 20261005 | $5.80 | $3.20 | — | — |
| 20261002 | $1.32 | $1.32 | 217.8% | 48% |
| 20261001 | $2.35 | $2.35 | 213.3% | 47% |
| 20260930 | $2.72 | $2.72 | — | — |
| 20260929 | $1.40 | $1.40 | 226.1% | 50% |
| 20260928 | $2.72 | $2.72 | 133.4% | 29% |
| 20260925 | $2.77 | $2.77 | — | — |
| 20260924 | $1.28 | $1.28 | 210.7% | 46% |
| 20260923 | $1.05 | $1.05 | — | — |
| 20260922 | $3.38 | $3.38 | 81.0% | 17% |
| 20260921 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 94.2% | 20% |
| 20260918 | $1.12 | $2.80 | — | — |
| 20260917 | $1.73 | $2.77 | — | — |
| 20260916 | $1.80 | $3.05 | — | — |
| 20260915 | $2.00 | $2.45 | — | — |
| 20260914 | $3.22 | $1.02 | 86.1% | 18% |
| 20260911 | $3.17 | $1.32 | — | — |
| 20260910 | $3.35 | $1.47 | — | — |
| 20260909 | $3.30 | $3.25 | 141.0% | 31% |
| 20260908 | $3.15 | $3.10 | 132.4% | 29% |
| 20260904 | $1.47 | $3.10 | 55.6% | 11% |
| 20260903 | $1.50 | $3.08 | 54.2% | 11% |
| 20260902 | $1.48 | $1.48 | — | — |
| 20260901 | $6.40 | $6.40 | — | — |
| 20260831 | $3.12 | $3.12 | — | — |
| 20260828 | $3.10 | $3.10 | 112.9% | 24% |
| 20260827 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 4.2% | 0% |
| 20260826 | $3.25 | $3.25 | 93.8% | 17% |
| 20260825 | $1.42 | $1.42 | — | — |
| 20260824 | $3.15 | $3.15 | — | — |
| 20260821 | $3.15 | $5.30 | — | — |
| 20260820 | $3.15 | $4.30 | — | — |
| 20260819 | $3.17 | $4.15 | — | — |
| 20260818 | $3.17 | $7.00 | — | — |
| 20260817 | $1.68 | $5.15 | — | — |
| 20260814 | $1.57 | $4.50 | — | — |
| 20260813 | $1.62 | $4.40 | — | — |
| 20260812 | $1.57 | $5.35 | — | — |
| 20260811 | $1.60 | $5.00 | — | — |
| 20260810 | $3.23 | $5.20 | — | — |
More on ARI
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.