AVBC · Expected Move

Avidia Bancorp, Inc.

Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading

The expected move for AVBC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

AVBC straddle price & implied vol

23 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current AVBC Expected Move

30-Day Straddle

$4.50

7-Day Straddle

$4.50

30-Day ATM IV

45.5%

IV Rank

100%

Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to AVBC's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.

AVBC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days

Date	30D Straddle	7D Straddle	ATM IV	IV Rank
20261022	$4.50	$4.50	45.5%	100%
20261021	$2.67	$2.67	43.3%	87%
20261020	$2.48	$2.48	44.9%	98%
20261019	$2.33	$2.33	39.1%	59%
20261016	$2.38	$1.82	40.5%	—
20261015	$2.42	$1.55	43.4%	—
20261014	$2.48	$1.57	41.4%	—
20261013	$2.42	$1.47	45.2%	—
20261012	$2.73	$1.73	39.9%	—
20261009	$2.52	$1.73	39.2%	—
20261008	$3.27	$1.82	45.1%	—
20261007	$2.42	$1.65	42.0%	—
20261006	$2.17	$1.82	42.9%	—
20261005	$2.42	$1.73	43.6%	—
20261002	$1.83	$1.83	39.9%	—
20261001	$2.08	$2.08	36.3%	—
20260930	$2.73	$2.73	43.4%	—
20260929	$2.12	$2.12	40.1%	—
20260928	$2.12	$2.12	37.3%	—
20260925	$2.23	$2.23	38.0%	—
20260924	$2.23	$2.23	39.9%	—
20260923	$1.80	$1.80	34.1%	—
20260922	$1.25	$1.25	30.2%	—