AVDL · Expected Move

Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc Ordinary Share

The expected move for AVDL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

AVDL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current AVDL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.00
7-Day Straddle
$3.98
30-Day ATM IV
52.2%
IV Rank
33%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to AVDL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
AVDL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260211 $4.00 $3.98 52.2% 33%
20260210 $9.00 $9.60 — —
20260209 $6.38 $6.33 70.1% 51%
20260206 $3.85 $10.88 — —
20260205 $10.72 $8.97 40.4% 21%
20260204 $8.97 $8.97 42.6% 23%
20260203 $4.17 $4.17 47.1% 28%
20260202 $10.72 $10.72 53.3% 34%
20260130 $9.10 $9.10 41.0% 22%
20260129 $1.52 $1.52 36.8% 17%
20260128 $1.95 $1.95 38.5% 19%
20260127 $4.33 $4.33 46.6% 27%
20260126 $10.78 $10.78 48.6% 29%
20260123 $3.83 $3.83 64.4% 45%
20260122 $1.80 $1.80 34.7% 15%
20260121 $4.53 $4.53 37.9% 19%
20260120 $8.05 $8.05 50.2% 31%
20260116 $2.42 $1.15 — —
20260115 $3.17 $1.25 39.9% 21%
20260114 $4.75 $0.75 39.6% 20%
20260113 $3.17 $1.32 30.3% 11%
20260112 $2.33 $1.90 — —
20260109 $1.95 $2.58 22.9% 3%
20260108 $3.90 $1.28 44.6% 25%
20260107 $2.53 $1.38 — —
20260106 $4.08 $4.47 42.2% 23%
20260105 $10.30 $1.97 34.0% 15%
20260102 $1.65 $1.65 47.3% 28%
20251231 $0.92 $0.92 52.0% 33%
20251230 $1.68 $1.68 — —
20251229 $2.05 $2.05 38.8% 19%
20251226 $2.52 $2.52 38.1% 19%
20251224 $0.93 $0.93 25.4% 6%
20251223 $1.75 $1.75 50.3% 31%
20251222 $1.25 $1.25 32.8% 13%
20251219 $1.72 $1.35 35.7% 16%
20251218 $1.12 $1.35 64.0% 45%
20251217 $1.88 $8.75 — —
20251216 $1.75 $8.38 55.6% 36%
20251215 $1.82 $3.77 31.1% 12%
20251212 $2.12 $8.78 42.9% 24%
20251211 $1.00 $8.65 — —
20251210 $2.35 $3.70 38.0% 19%
20251209 $2.12 $8.47 — —
20251208 $1.45 $1.90 43.4% 24%
20251205 $0.97 $1.30 32.0% 13%
20251204 $1.18 $1.60 24.8% 5%
20251203 $1.23 $1.23 40.8% 21%
20251202 $1.38 $1.38 31.5% 12%
20251201 $0.68 $0.68 33.7% 14%
20251128 $0.78 $0.78 19.7% 0%
20251126 $1.22 $1.22 22.0% 0%
20251125 $1.10 $1.10 29.2% 5%
20251124 $1.85 $1.85 33.3% 9%
20251121 $1.85 $2.85 32.9% 9%
20251120 $3.00 $0.62 54.6% 32%
20251119 $3.25 $0.72 53.5% 31%
20251118 $3.15 $1.27 52.5% 30%
20251117 $2.90 $1.27 49.8% 27%
20251114 $2.73 $1.45 44.7% 21%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.