BABA · Expected Move

Alibaba Group Holding Limited American Depositary Shares, each represents eight Ordinary Shares

The expected move for BABA is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BABA straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BABA Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$9.32
7-Day Straddle
$4.24
30-Day ATM IV
42.7%
IV Rank
51%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BABA's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BABA Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $9.32 $4.24 42.7% 51%
20261022 $9.95 $5.12 43.5% 56%
20261021 $9.95 $5.06 41.9% 46%
20261020 $10.38 $5.63 40.8% 39%
20261019 $10.45 $3.77 39.8% 33%
20261016 $9.20 $4.38 39.3% 30%
20261015 $9.62 $5.06 39.3% 30%
20261014 $10.50 $5.56 41.1% 41%
20261013 $9.85 $5.67 38.0% 22%
20261012 $9.12 $3.68 34.5% 1%
20261009 $8.34 $4.20 35.6% 7%
20261008 $8.51 $4.46 35.9% 9%
20261007 $8.95 $5.57 37.1% 17%
20261006 $9.32 $5.37 37.2% 17%
20261005 $9.65 $4.13 37.2% 18%
20261002 $8.26 $3.94 34.3% 0%
20261001 $8.78 $4.47 36.9% 0%
20260930 $9.20 $4.87 37.9% 7%
20260929 $9.77 $5.30 39.1% 16%
20260928 $9.52 $3.63 37.0% 0%
20260925 $9.53 $4.03 38.6% 11%
20260924 $9.80 $4.95 39.2% 15%
20260923 $10.30 $5.68 40.5% 25%
20260922 $11.38 $6.93 42.1% 36%
20260921 $12.75 $6.35 46.3% 66%
20260918 $11.03 $6.14 42.6% 40%
20260917 $10.50 $6.24 41.9% 35%
20260916 $10.28 $6.02 40.9% 28%
20260915 $10.78 $6.76 42.3% 38%
20260914 $10.75 $6.12 41.7% 33%
20260911 $10.10 $4.16 40.8% 27%
20260910 $10.27 $4.73 40.9% 28%
20260909 $9.95 $5.68 40.5% 24%
20260908 $11.07 $6.02 42.7% 40%
20260904 $10.23 $4.38 40.6% 26%
20260903 $10.15 $4.68 40.6% 25%
20260902 $10.00 $5.03 39.2% 15%
20260901 $10.73 $5.39 40.7% 26%
20260831 $11.22 $3.80 41.3% 30%
20260828 $10.85 $4.87 41.6% 32%
20260827 $10.97 $5.14 41.5% 32%
20260826 $11.77 $6.14 43.0% 43%
20260825 $12.03 $6.40 42.5% 39%
20260824 $12.62 $4.84 43.6% 47%
20260821 $11.20 $5.62 40.5% 24%
20260820 $11.45 $6.80 40.6% 25%
20260819 $13.90 $10.03 46.2% 65%
20260818 $13.73 $9.47 46.5% 67%
20260817 $13.78 $8.35 47.0% 71%
20260814 $12.50 $8.62 45.4% 60%
20260813 $12.25 $8.28 44.3% 52%
20260812 $13.47 $9.30 47.2% 72%
20260811 $14.00 $9.82 47.7% 76%
20260810 $14.68 $5.01 47.8% 77%
20260807 — — 48.3% 81%
20260806 $14.30 $6.57 48.9% 85%
20260805 $13.45 $7.05 47.1% 72%
20260804 $14.80 $7.67 49.8% 91%
20260803 $15.40 $5.27 50.6% 97%
20260731 $12.48 $5.69 47.1% 72%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.