BBAI · Expected Move

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.

The expected move for BBAI is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BBAI straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BBAI Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.42
7-Day Straddle
$0.24
30-Day ATM IV
83.8%
IV Rank
56%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BBAI's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BBAI Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $0.42 $0.24 83.8% 56%
20261015 $0.59 $0.26 96.6% 79%
20261014 $0.41 $0.26 77.4% 45%
20261013 $0.41 $0.28 75.8% 42%
20261012 $0.37 $0.23 81.5% 52%
20261009 $0.38 $0.20 72.8% 37%
20261008 $0.39 $0.18 70.7% 33%
20261007 $0.43 $0.21 74.4% 40%
20261006 $0.44 $0.27 72.3% 36%
20261005 $0.44 $0.18 70.3% 32%
20261002 $0.40 $0.24 70.1% 32%
20261001 $0.45 $0.31 65.8% 24%
20260930 $0.39 $0.30 62.0% 18%
20260929 $0.39 $0.26 63.4% 20%
20260928 $0.41 $0.14 60.4% 15%
20260925 $0.41 $0.22 59.6% 13%
20260924 $0.43 $0.23 59.8% 14%
20260923 $0.38 $0.23 55.3% 6%
20260922 $0.43 $0.21 60.9% 16%
20260921 $0.43 $0.15 59.2% 12%
20260918 $0.43 $0.23 62.9% 19%
20260917 $0.44 $0.24 63.7% 21%
20260916 $0.48 $0.21 66.3% 25%
20260915 $0.39 $0.27 55.2% 6%
20260914 $0.43 $0.15 62.2% 18%
20260911 $0.44 $0.19 67.5% 27%
20260910 $0.46 $0.24 65.1% 23%
20260909 $0.42 $0.27 57.1% 9%
20260908 $0.39 $0.27 59.2% 13%
20260904 $0.46 $0.20 74.2% 39%
20260903 $0.42 $0.18 62.7% 19%
20260902 $0.34 $0.21 52.1% 0%
20260901 $0.43 $0.23 62.0% 4%
20260831 $0.47 $0.20 62.9% 6%
20260828 $0.41 $0.20 59.8% 0%
20260827 $0.44 $0.29 62.0% 3%
20260826 $0.44 $0.17 63.0% 5%
20260825 $0.49 $0.25 67.7% 15%
20260824 $0.44 $0.17 60.7% 0%
20260821 $0.52 $0.30 72.2% 24%
20260820 $0.44 $0.24 64.1% 8%
20260819 $0.50 $0.30 67.6% 15%
20260818 $0.49 $0.28 67.0% 14%
20260817 $0.55 $0.26 71.6% 23%
20260814 $0.47 $0.34 63.6% 7%
20260813 $0.56 $0.32 70.5% 21%
20260812 $0.55 $0.30 67.3% 14%
20260811 $0.58 $0.35 72.9% 26%
20260810 $0.57 $0.29 73.8% 28%
20260807 — — 71.8% 24%
20260806 $0.47 $0.27 82.8% 47%
20260805 $0.42 $0.28 60.5% 0%
20260804 $0.59 $0.33 76.7% 24%
20260803 $0.49 $0.23 75.4% 21%
20260731 $0.55 $0.32 79.2% 30%
20260730 $0.73 $0.43 108.3% 100%
20260729 $0.51 $0.42 83.8% 41%
20260728 $0.74 $0.49 93.2% 64%
20260727 $0.62 $0.39 94.7% 67%
20260724 $0.59 $0.47 96.5% 56%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.