BIL · Expected Move

State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF · ETF

The expected move for BIL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BIL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BIL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.88
7-Day Straddle
$5.88
30-Day ATM IV
3.8%
IV Rank
11%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BIL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BIL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $5.88 $5.88 3.8% 11%
20261021 $10.00 $10.00 2.7% 3%
20261020 $5.03 $5.03 5.9% 27%
20261019 $10.57 $10.57 15.9% 100%
20261016 $0.53 $0.50 3.0% 5%
20261015 $0.68 $0.33 2.7% 3%
20261014 $1.38 $0.45 11.2% 67%
20261013 $2.50 $10.35 9.4% 54%
20261012 $0.93 $0.53 8.0% 43%
20261009 $10.72 $1.20 10.2% 60%
20261008 $0.55 $1.48 4.3% 16%
20261007 $0.55 $0.60 8.3% 45%
20261006 $0.80 $0.55 3.6% 10%
20261005 $0.55 $1.40 2.5% 2%
20261002 $3.28 $3.28 8.3% 45%
20261001 $1.12 $1.12 7.0% 36%
20260930 $1.60 $1.60 9.0% 51%
20260929 $0.68 $0.68 10.0% 59%
20260928 $1.12 $1.12 5.9% 28%
20260925 $10.70 $10.70 4.3% 15%
20260924 $0.65 $0.65 5.1% 21%
20260923 $0.62 $0.62 4.5% 17%
20260922 $1.65 $1.65 3.9% 12%
20260921 $1.02 $1.02 6.3% 31%
20260918 $2.05 $1.40 7.7% 42%
20260917 $0.70 $0.53 3.0% 7%
20260916 $8.10 $0.55 15.0% 96%
20260915 $7.95 $1.05 5.3% 24%
20260914 $0.75 $0.60 4.1% 15%
20260911 $1.70 $0.38 6.1% 28%
20260910 $0.65 $0.75 4.0% 9%
20260909 $2.38 $0.38 4.2% 10%
20260908 $8.55 $0.85 13.2% 52%
20260904 $1.05 $1.10 12.0% 47%
20260903 $1.75 $1.73 3.9% 9%
20260902 $1.10 $1.10 4.0% 9%
20260901 $0.90 $0.90 11.2% 43%
20260831 $1.48 $1.48 2.7% 3%
20260828 $0.85 $0.85 9.1% 33%
20260827 $0.98 $0.98 8.0% 28%
20260826 $1.23 $1.23 8.3% 29%
20260825 $0.88 $0.88 9.7% 36%
20260824 $1.15 $1.15 7.1% 24%
20260821 $0.85 $0.43 4.3% 10%
20260820 $1.00 $0.62 2.3% 1%
20260819 $7.85 $0.68 15.3% 63%
20260818 $0.38 $0.53 5.2% 15%
20260817 $0.88 $0.48 3.6% 7%
20260814 $7.85 $2.00 13.9% 56%
20260813 $1.67 $1.55 12.2% 48%
20260812 $1.23 $1.55 5.4% 16%
20260811 $0.90 $2.08 7.5% 26%
20260810 $0.40 $0.65 4.4% 11%
20260807 — — 11.7% 45%
20260806 $0.42 $1.15 4.3% 10%
20260805 $1.15 $1.15 4.4% 11%
20260804 $1.08 $1.08 4.0% 9%
20260803 $1.10 $1.10 6.1% 19%
20260731 $2.50 $2.50 11.0% 42%
20260730 $1.00 $1.00 7.3% 25%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.