BITX · Expected Move

2x Bitcoin ETF · ETF

The expected move for BITX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BITX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BITX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.41
7-Day Straddle
$1.79
30-Day ATM IV
71.7%
IV Rank
28%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BITX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BITX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261006 $3.41 $1.79 71.7% 28%
20261005 $3.45 $1.01 70.5% 26%
20261002 $2.98 $1.26 69.1% 22%
20261001 $3.16 $1.58 76.6% 40%
20260930 $3.09 $1.77 69.2% 22%
20260929 $3.15 $1.73 69.3% 22%
20260928 $3.50 $1.19 74.5% 35%
20260925 $3.12 $1.43 70.9% 26%
20260924 $3.29 $1.64 73.9% 34%
20260923 $3.51 $1.82 76.3% 40%
20260922 $3.72 $2.11 76.9% 41%
20260921 $3.74 $1.65 75.8% 38%
20260918 $2.99 $1.48 70.8% 26%
20260917 $2.56 $1.23 68.4% 20%
20260916 $2.73 $1.52 73.6% 33%
20260915 $2.89 $1.82 76.8% 41%
20260914 $3.21 $1.34 76.2% 39%
20260911 $3.01 $1.37 78.4% 45%
20260910 $3.22 $1.56 76.7% 41%
20260909 $3.39 $1.71 85.2% 61%
20260908 $3.13 $1.80 78.1% 44%
20260904 $2.95 $1.39 74.8% 36%
20260903 $3.40 $1.88 79.9% 48%
20260902 $2.71 $1.52 70.0% 24%
20260901 $3.08 $1.57 75.8% 38%
20260831 $2.90 $1.17 69.4% 23%
20260828 $2.85 $1.41 74.9% 36%
20260827 $3.26 $1.84 79.0% 46%
20260826 $3.20 $1.76 79.5% 47%
20260825 $3.52 $2.11 85.1% 61%
20260824 $3.68 $1.51 87.5% 67%
20260821 $3.07 $1.73 81.4% 52%
20260820 $2.61 $1.47 75.9% 39%
20260819 $2.31 $1.14 72.7% 31%
20260818 $1.80 $0.95 65.9% 14%
20260817 $1.81 $0.58 63.6% 9%
20260814 $1.64 $0.65 64.3% 10%
20260813 $1.72 $0.74 63.8% 9%
20260812 $1.85 $0.78 67.6% 18%
20260811 $1.81 $0.91 66.2% 15%
20260810 $1.94 $0.65 67.3% 18%
20260807 — — 64.5% 11%
20260806 $1.84 $0.85 66.3% 14%
20260805 $1.65 $0.88 60.1% 0%
20260804 $1.98 $0.96 69.5% 11%
20260803 $1.98 $0.77 70.1% 13%
20260731 $1.69 $0.89 68.9% 10%
20260730 $1.81 $0.88 65.8% 2%
20260729 $2.02 $1.23 73.8% 22%
20260728 $2.02 $1.08 71.6% 16%
20260727 $1.96 $0.76 66.6% 4%
20260724 $1.85 $0.92 67.6% 7%
20260723 $2.11 $1.02 73.7% 22%
20260722 $2.17 $1.06 71.0% 15%
20260721 $2.10 $1.17 69.1% 10%
20260720 $2.07 $0.70 68.9% 10%
20260716 $1.77 $1.01 65.2% 1%
20260715 $1.87 $1.06 64.8% 0%
20260714 $2.04 $1.07 70.7% 6%
20260713 $2.19 $0.75 79.8% 27%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.