BLV · Expected Move

Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for BLV is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BLV straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BLV Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.00
7-Day Straddle
$0.00
30-Day ATM IV
15.6%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BLV's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BLV Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $0.00 $0.00 15.6% 100%
20261021 $0.00 $0.00 11.0% 63%
20261020 $1.10 $1.10 12.9% 93%
20261019 $0.00 $0.00 11.6% 72%
20261016 $1.85 $0.17 11.6% 73%
20261015 $1.70 $0.38 10.4% 53%
20261014 $1.82 $0.57 10.9% 61%
20261013 $1.65 $0.53 10.2% 50%
20261012 $1.80 $0.60 11.0% 63%
20261009 $1.88 $0.65 10.9% 61%
20261008 $1.90 $0.80 11.3% 67%
20261007 $2.12 $0.97 11.7% 74%
20261006 $2.15 $1.02 11.5% 71%
20261005 $2.25 $0.97 12.2% 82%
20261002 $1.27 $1.27 12.4% 86%
20261001 $1.05 $1.05 12.4% 86%
20260930 $1.35 $1.35 13.1% 98%
20260929 $1.45 $1.45 13.3% 100%
20260928 $1.12 $1.12 11.7% 76%
20260925 $1.38 $1.38 11.3% 68%
20260924 $1.35 $1.35 10.7% 59%
20260923 $1.32 $1.32 10.0% 48%
20260922 $1.18 $1.18 8.7% 26%
20260921 $1.23 $1.23 8.7% 26%
20260918 $1.05 $0.35 7.4% 4%
20260917 $1.25 $0.47 8.4% 21%
20260916 $1.38 $0.43 9.3% 36%
20260915 $1.48 $0.57 9.8% 44%
20260914 $1.38 $0.60 9.0% 31%
20260911 $1.90 $0.62 11.6% 74%
20260910 $1.48 $0.78 9.1% 34%
20260909 $1.20 $1.12 8.6% 24%
20260908 $1.15 $0.72 7.3% 3%
20260904 $1.45 $0.70 7.9% 13%
20260903 $1.48 $0.62 7.8% 11%
20260902 $0.82 $0.82 8.0% 14%
20260901 $0.85 $0.85 7.8% 11%
20260831 $0.85 $0.85 7.9% 13%
20260828 $1.32 $1.32 9.2% 34%
20260827 $0.97 $0.97 8.4% 21%
20260826 $1.35 $1.35 9.5% 39%
20260825 $1.10 $1.10 8.1% 16%
20260824 $1.25 $1.25 8.9% 29%
20260821 $2.08 $0.22 13.2% 100%
20260820 $1.32 $0.25 8.9% 30%
20260819 $1.32 $0.58 8.6% 25%
20260818 $1.55 $0.70 9.7% 43%
20260817 $1.32 $1.18 8.1% 17%
20260814 $1.38 $0.48 8.4% 21%
20260813 $2.35 $0.62 13.1% 100%
20260812 $1.45 $0.62 8.6% 25%
20260811 $1.55 $0.90 9.3% 36%
20260810 $1.60 $0.77 9.2% 36%
20260807 — — 8.5% 23%
20260806 $1.85 $1.05 9.4% 35%
20260805 $0.88 $0.88 8.9% 27%
20260804 $1.10 $1.10 8.8% 27%
20260803 $1.07 $1.07 9.4% 36%
20260731 $1.12 $1.12 9.1% 31%
20260730 $1.15 $1.15 8.8% 26%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.