BSV · Expected Move

Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for BSV is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

BSV straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current BSV Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.55
7-Day Straddle
$1.55
30-Day ATM IV
3.8%
IV Rank
22%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to BSV's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
BSV Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $1.55 $1.55 3.8% 22%
20261021 $0.75 $0.75 5.3% 49%
20261020 $1.47 $1.47 7.9% 93%
20261019 $1.47 $1.47 7.8% 92%
20261016 $2.23 $1.38 7.2% 81%
20261015 $0.70 $1.55 5.4% 51%
20261014 $1.62 $0.50 3.8% 24%
20261013 $0.88 $0.50 3.9% 24%
20261012 $0.88 $0.50 4.7% 38%
20261009 $0.92 $0.50 4.0% 27%
20261008 $1.78 $1.40 7.6% 88%
20261007 $2.10 $1.55 7.5% 87%
20261006 $0.95 $1.35 5.0% 44%
20261005 $1.60 $0.45 5.7% 55%
20261002 $0.48 $0.48 5.3% 50%
20261001 $0.65 $0.65 4.4% 34%
20260930 $1.40 $1.40 4.9% 41%
20260929 $0.53 $0.53 4.3% 32%
20260928 $0.53 $0.53 6.5% 69%
20260925 $1.12 $1.12 4.9% 42%
20260924 $1.50 $1.50 6.5% 70%
20260923 $0.60 $0.60 4.9% 41%
20260922 $0.50 $0.50 3.5% 17%
20260921 $0.53 $0.53 3.4% 17%
20260918 $1.05 $0.55 6.8% 75%
20260917 $0.42 $2.50 2.8% 5%
20260916 $0.58 $0.40 3.4% 17%
20260915 $0.57 $0.38 3.1% 11%
20260914 $0.53 $0.33 2.9% 7%
20260911 $1.65 $0.30 3.1% 11%
20260910 $0.53 $0.35 2.9% 5%
20260909 $2.75 $0.40 8.3% 76%
20260908 $1.62 $0.50 3.3% 10%
20260904 $2.60 $1.43 6.0% 46%
20260903 $1.75 $1.45 4.2% 19%
20260902 $2.58 $2.58 6.2% 41%
20260901 $2.55 $2.55 3.1% 7%
20260831 $1.55 $1.55 5.4% 33%
20260828 $0.60 $0.60 3.5% 11%
20260827 $0.62 $0.62 3.8% 15%
20260826 $0.58 $0.58 3.2% 8%
20260825 $1.65 $1.65 3.2% 8%
20260824 $4.10 $4.10 7.5% 55%
20260821 $1.68 $0.45 3.9% 15%
20260820 $0.38 $1.38 3.4% 11%
20260819 $1.90 $1.38 3.4% 10%
20260818 $0.57 $0.40 3.6% 13%
20260817 $1.62 $1.48 3.2% 8%
20260814 $0.55 $0.40 3.3% 8%
20260813 $0.38 $0.35 3.5% 11%
20260812 $0.60 $1.43 3.7% 13%
20260811 $0.80 $0.40 6.3% 42%
20260810 $0.80 $0.65 5.4% 32%
20260806 $0.62 $0.53 6.3% 42%
20260805 $0.50 $0.50 4.2% 19%
20260804 $0.53 $0.53 3.4% 10%
20260803 $1.40 $1.40 4.8% 26%
20260731 $0.98 $0.98 4.1% 18%
20260730 $0.65 $0.65 4.7% 25%
20260729 $0.62 $0.62 4.4% 21%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.