CAF · Expected Move

MORGAN STANLEY CHINA A SHARE FUND, INC

The expected move for CAF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CAF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CAF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.80
7-Day Straddle
$4.80
30-Day ATM IV
53.9%
IV Rank
52%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CAF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CAF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260302 $4.80 $4.80 53.9% 52%
20260227 $1.70 $1.70 36.4% 18%
20260226 $1.67 $1.67 36.2% 17%
20260225 $1.98 $1.98 42.7% 30%
20260224 $2.02 $2.02 44.9% 34%
20260223 $2.02 $2.02 44.7% 34%
20260221 $1.52 $1.52 — —
20260220 $1.52 $1.33 33.9% 13%
20260219 $1.55 $0.88 37.2% 19%
20260218 $1.57 $1.12 33.6% 12%
20260217 $2.05 $1.12 48.4% 41%
20260213 $1.58 $1.12 33.6% 12%
20260212 $1.70 $1.35 36.1% 17%
20260211 $1.80 $1.35 36.4% 18%
20260210 $2.20 $1.35 46.9% 38%
20260209 $1.83 $1.38 37.4% 20%
20260206 $1.95 $1.70 42.6% 30%
20260205 $1.82 $1.27 36.4% 18%
20260204 $1.30 $1.30 44.5% 34%
20260203 $1.80 $1.80 49.0% 43%
20260202 $1.55 $1.55 38.4% 22%
20260130 $1.62 $1.62 39.0% 23%
20260129 $1.80 $1.80 38.9% 23%
20260128 $1.80 $1.80 38.7% 22%
20260127 $1.75 $1.75 33.4% 16%
20260126 $1.68 $1.68 36.1% 21%
20260123 $1.82 $1.82 41.4% 31%
20260122 $1.55 $1.55 33.2% 16%
20260121 $1.48 $1.48 34.9% 19%
20260120 $1.48 $1.48 32.2% 14%
20260116 $1.93 $1.30 42.4% 33%
20260115 $1.60 $1.40 31.2% 12%
20260114 $1.70 $1.33 36.3% 22%
20260113 $1.62 $1.33 31.3% 12%
20260112 $1.80 $1.43 32.9% 15%
20260109 $1.80 $1.48 49.8% 47%
20260108 $1.77 $1.48 52.1% 51%
20260107 $2.05 $1.50 56.7% 60%
20260106 $1.80 $1.52 55.1% 57%
20260105 $1.70 $1.33 58.3% 63%
20260102 $1.35 $1.35 65.7% 77%
20251231 $1.30 $1.30 64.8% 75%
20251230 $1.35 $1.35 73.9% 92%
20251229 $1.12 $1.12 61.2% 68%
20251226 $1.05 $1.05 78.1% 100%
20251224 $1.43 $1.43 59.3% 70%
20251223 $1.43 $1.43 74.2% 100%
20251222 $1.40 $1.40 73.9% 100%
20251219 $1.58 $1.30 70.9% 99%
20251218 $1.58 $1.27 68.3% 93%
20251217 $1.62 $1.35 44.5% 42%
20251216 $1.77 $1.58 61.5% 78%
20251215 $1.67 $1.35 47.7% 49%
20251212 $1.65 $1.35 52.8% 60%
20251211 $1.70 $1.40 71.0% 99%
20251210 $1.68 $1.42 71.6% 100%
20251209 $1.70 $1.42 62.5% 95%
20251208 $1.77 $1.50 64.4% 100%
20251205 $1.98 $1.88 31.4% 19%
20251204 $1.88 $1.68 42.6% 50%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.