CINF · Expected Move

Cincinnati Financial Corp

The expected move for CINF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CINF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CINF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$10.70
7-Day Straddle
$2.05
30-Day ATM IV
25.1%
IV Rank
67%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CINF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CINF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $10.70 $2.05 25.1% 67%
20261015 $11.10 $2.73 25.5% 71%
20261014 $10.80 $2.77 25.1% 67%
20261013 $10.50 $2.92 24.5% 62%
20261012 $10.80 $3.38 25.0% 66%
20261009 $10.95 $3.53 24.4% 61%
20261008 $11.20 $3.65 24.3% 60%
20261007 $11.35 $4.58 24.3% 60%
20261006 $11.10 $4.45 23.7% 55%
20261005 $11.80 $5.40 24.1% 58%
20261002 $5.60 $5.60 23.3% 51%
20261001 $5.62 $5.62 22.4% 43%
20260930 $5.53 $5.53 23.7% 55%
20260929 $6.22 $6.22 23.4% 52%
20260928 $6.78 $6.78 23.9% 56%
20260925 $5.65 $5.65 21.9% 39%
20260924 $6.88 $6.88 22.1% 40%
20260923 $6.80 $6.80 21.8% 38%
20260922 $6.45 $6.45 20.3% 24%
20260921 $7.67 $7.67 20.8% 28%
20260918 $6.92 $2.67 17.7% 0%
20260917 $7.25 $2.05 19.1% 7%
20260916 $8.60 $2.98 22.0% 35%
20260915 $8.38 $3.20 20.5% 21%
20260914 $8.68 $3.75 21.1% 27%
20260911 $7.62 $3.73 18.4% 1%
20260910 $8.62 $4.58 20.6% 22%
20260909 $9.25 $4.15 21.5% 30%
20260908 $8.90 $4.97 20.7% 23%
20260904 $9.35 $5.72 20.1% 17%
20260903 $8.75 $5.30 18.6% 2%
20260902 $5.97 $5.97 19.7% 13%
20260901 $6.28 $6.28 21.0% 26%
20260831 $6.30 $6.30 20.8% 24%
20260828 $7.15 $7.15 20.1% 17%
20260827 $6.85 $6.85 19.7% 13%
20260826 $7.62 $7.62 20.0% 17%
20260825 $7.45 $7.45 20.6% 22%
20260824 $7.60 $7.60 20.4% 20%
20260821 $7.00 $2.45 19.0% 7%
20260820 $8.23 $2.30 21.5% 30%
20260819 $8.05 $3.45 21.1% 27%
20260818 $9.18 $3.70 22.0% 36%
20260817 $9.38 $3.67 22.6% 41%
20260814 $8.88 $4.40 20.8% 24%
20260813 $10.20 $5.15 23.6% 50%
20260812 $9.82 $5.90 22.0% 35%
20260811 $10.45 $5.78 23.1% 46%
20260810 $10.20 $6.22 23.5% 50%
20260807 — — 23.9% 54%
20260806 $12.15 $7.75 25.6% 71%
20260805 $8.05 $8.05 26.0% 74%
20260804 $7.75 $7.75 25.5% 69%
20260803 $8.57 $8.57 26.2% 76%
20260731 $8.53 $8.53 24.5% 59%
20260730 $8.85 $8.85 25.4% 68%
20260729 $9.70 $9.70 25.5% 69%
20260728 $9.80 $9.80 25.3% 67%
20260727 $11.40 $11.40 28.7% 100%
20260724 $11.65 $11.65 27.8% 91%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.