CMBS · Expected Move

iShares CMBS ETF · ETF

The expected move for CMBS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CMBS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CMBS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.25
7-Day Straddle
$2.25
30-Day ATM IV
—
IV Rank
—
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CMBS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CMBS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20251017 $2.25 $2.25 — —
20251016 $2.17 $2.17 — —
20251015 $2.20 $2.20 — —
20251014 $2.17 $2.17 — —
20251013 $2.20 $2.20 — —
20251010 $2.17 $2.17 34.9% 100%
20251009 $2.17 $2.17 24.3% 97%
20251008 $2.17 $2.17 23.7% 93%
20251007 $2.20 $2.20 25.0% 100%
20251006 $2.23 $2.23 21.4% 86%
20251003 $2.30 $2.30 16.8% 60%
20251002 $2.25 $2.25 16.8% 60%
20251001 $2.33 $2.33 17.7% 65%
20250930 $2.33 $2.33 16.5% 59%
20250929 $2.30 $2.30 16.7% 59%
20250926 $2.38 $2.38 15.4% 52%
20250925 $2.38 $2.38 16.9% 60%
20250924 $2.33 $2.33 16.2% 57%
20250923 $2.35 $2.35 16.0% 56%
20250922 $2.38 $2.38 16.5% 58%
20250919 $2.38 $2.38 15.0% 50%
20250918 $2.38 $2.38 14.8% 49%
20250917 $2.40 $2.40 14.6% 47%
20250916 $2.45 $2.45 13.9% 45%
20250915 $2.48 $2.48 14.7% 50%
20250912 $2.45 $2.45 19.0% 73%
20250911 $2.45 $2.45 18.2% 69%
20250910 $2.45 $2.45 14.0% 46%
20250909 $2.48 $2.48 18.4% 70%
20250908 $2.50 $2.50 12.2% 37%
20250905 $2.50 $2.50 12.8% 40%
20250904 $2.47 $2.47 13.6% 45%
20250903 $2.50 $2.50 11.9% 36%
20250902 $2.55 $2.55 11.4% 33%
20250829 $2.55 $2.55 10.2% 27%
20250828 $2.50 $2.50 14.7% 51%
20250827 $2.52 $2.52 13.0% 42%
20250826 $2.55 $2.55 14.9% 52%
20250825 $2.60 $2.60 10.5% 28%
20250822 $2.62 $2.62 13.7% 45%
20250821 $2.62 $2.62 14.0% 47%
20250820 $2.62 $2.62 10.7% 30%
20250819 $2.62 $2.62 16.2% 59%
20250818 $2.62 $2.62 8.8% 19%
20250815 $2.62 $2.62 — —
20250814 $2.67 $2.67 — —
20250813 $2.62 $2.62 — —
20250812 $2.65 $2.65 — —
20250811 $2.70 $2.70 — —
20250808 $2.67 $2.67 — —
20250807 $2.70 $2.70 — —
20250806 $2.77 $2.77 — —
20250805 $2.75 $2.75 — —
20250804 $2.75 $2.75 — —
20250801 $2.80 $2.80 — —
20250731 $2.77 $2.77 — —
20250730 $2.88 $2.88 — —
20250729 $2.75 $2.75 — —
20250728 $2.77 $2.77 — —
20250725 $2.83 $2.83 — —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.