CMCL · Expected Move

Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc

The expected move for CMCL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CMCL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CMCL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.55
7-Day Straddle
$2.23
30-Day ATM IV
61.5%
IV Rank
62%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CMCL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CMCL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261109 $3.55 $2.23 61.5% 62%
20261106 $3.70 $3.20 59.0% 53%
20261105 $3.15 $2.92 64.7% 74%
20261104 $1.90 $1.90 55.5% 40%
20261103 $3.12 $3.12 72.0% 100%
20261102 $2.23 $2.23 58.3% 48%
20261030 $2.70 $2.70 63.5% 66%
20261029 $2.42 $2.42 49.0% 16%
20261028 $3.68 $3.68 66.4% 75%
20261027 $2.45 $2.45 48.9% 16%
20261026 $2.67 $2.67 55.4% 38%
20261023 $2.60 $2.60 51.4% 24%
20261022 $2.88 $2.88 55.3% 37%
20261021 $2.33 $2.33 44.3% 0%
20261020 $3.90 $3.90 66.3% 73%
20261019 $3.83 $3.83 58.3% 44%
20261016 $3.65 $1.68 58.8% 45%
20261015 $3.10 $1.60 51.8% 21%
20261014 $3.90 $1.48 — —
20261013 $3.10 $2.27 48.5% 9%
20261012 $3.42 $1.52 56.2% 36%
20261009 $3.90 $1.88 55.5% 34%
20261008 $3.00 $1.60 45.9% 0%
20261007 $3.38 $1.75 49.6% 10%
20261006 $3.38 $1.40 47.4% 2%
20261005 $3.08 $2.30 47.9% 4%
20261002 $2.35 $2.35 55.5% 31%
20261001 $2.52 $2.52 53.3% 23%
20260930 $2.90 $2.90 58.4% 42%
20260929 $2.40 $2.40 54.7% 28%
20260928 $2.73 $2.73 61.5% 53%
20260925 $3.03 $3.03 55.8% 32%
20260924 $2.40 $2.40 51.0% 15%
20260923 $2.97 $2.97 63.5% 60%
20260922 $2.12 $2.12 47.0% 0%
20260921 $2.62 $2.62 49.0% 7%
20260918 $2.52 $1.35 48.5% 5%
20260917 $2.85 $1.07 53.5% 23%
20260916 $3.12 $1.88 60.1% 48%
20260915 $2.73 $1.32 48.7% 5%
20260914 $3.20 $1.73 54.5% 20%
20260911 $3.20 $1.55 51.2% 11%
20260910 $3.98 $1.77 62.1% 41%
20260909 $3.40 $2.20 52.4% 14%
20260908 $3.53 $2.45 53.7% 18%
20260904 $3.30 $2.52 52.6% 15%
20260903 $3.65 $2.30 53.3% 17%
20260902 $2.12 $2.12 47.2% 0%
20260901 $2.05 $2.05 55.3% 20%
20260831 $2.48 $2.48 56.2% 23%
20260828 $2.75 $2.75 56.1% 23%
20260827 $2.75 $2.75 56.0% 22%
20260826 $2.58 $2.58 51.7% 10%
20260825 $2.75 $2.75 55.9% 22%
20260824 $2.78 $2.78 54.4% 18%
20260821 $2.85 $0.40 51.6% 10%
20260820 $2.88 $1.10 51.9% 11%
20260819 $2.70 $1.70 50.3% 6%
20260818 $3.72 $2.12 64.6% 47%
20260817 $2.72 $1.50 51.8% 11%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.