CMF · Expected Move

iShares California Muni Bond ETF · ETF

The expected move for CMF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

CMF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current CMF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.60
7-Day Straddle
$1.60
30-Day ATM IV
—
IV Rank
—
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to CMF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
CMF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20251017 $1.60 $1.60 — —
20251016 $1.57 $1.57 — —
20251015 $1.50 $1.50 — —
20251014 $1.50 $1.50 — —
20251013 $1.48 $1.48 — —
20251010 $1.48 $1.48 38.6% 100%
20251009 $1.35 $1.35 37.0% 100%
20251008 $1.40 $1.40 35.2% 100%
20251007 $1.40 $1.40 33.3% 100%
20251006 $1.40 $1.40 30.5% 100%
20251003 $1.42 $1.42 28.4% 100%
20251002 $1.42 $1.42 27.4% 100%
20251001 $1.48 $1.48 26.5% 100%
20250930 $1.50 $1.50 25.6% 100%
20250929 $1.60 $1.60 25.0% 100%
20250926 $1.65 $1.65 22.7% 94%
20250925 $1.67 $1.67 22.6% 93%
20250924 $1.65 $1.65 22.2% 90%
20250923 $1.55 $1.55 21.7% 87%
20250922 $1.57 $1.57 21.1% 84%
20250919 $1.58 $1.58 20.0% 77%
20250918 $1.55 $1.55 19.4% 73%
20250917 $1.60 $1.60 19.2% 72%
20250916 $1.60 $1.60 18.9% 70%
20250915 $1.60 $1.60 18.8% 69%
20250912 $1.73 $1.73 18.0% 64%
20250911 $1.73 $1.73 17.7% 63%
20250910 $1.75 $1.75 17.4% 60%
20250909 $1.77 $1.77 19.3% 72%
20250908 $1.80 $1.80 19.1% 71%
20250905 $1.65 $1.65 12.3% 32%
20250904 $1.75 $1.75 13.3% 38%
20250903 $1.75 $1.75 11.9% 30%
20250902 $1.85 $1.85 7.7% 5%
20250829 $1.85 $1.85 23.3% 97%
20250828 $1.88 $1.88 15.1% 49%
20250827 $1.90 $1.90 23.0% 96%
20250826 $1.90 $1.90 22.8% 95%
20250825 $1.93 $1.93 22.5% 93%
20250822 $1.90 $1.90 22.0% 90%
20250821 $1.95 $1.95 11.0% 28%
20250820 $1.95 $1.95 11.3% 29%
20250819 $1.95 $1.95 15.3% 52%
20250818 $1.95 $1.95 11.1% 29%
20250815 $1.98 $1.98 — —
20250814 $1.95 $1.95 — —
20250813 $3.25 $3.25 — —
20250812 $1.98 $1.98 — —
20250811 $2.00 $2.00 — —
20250808 $2.02 $2.02 — —
20250807 $2.00 $2.00 — —
20250806 $2.02 $2.02 — —
20250805 $2.00 $2.00 — —
20250804 $2.00 $2.00 — —
20250801 $2.02 $2.02 — —
20250731 $1.92 $1.92 — —
20250730 $1.85 $1.85 — —
20250729 $1.95 $1.95 — —
20250728 $1.92 $1.92 — —
20250725 $1.98 $1.98 — —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.