DUOL · Expected Move

Duolingo, Inc. Class A Common Stock

The expected move for DUOL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

DUOL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current DUOL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$23.85
7-Day Straddle
$18.65
30-Day ATM IV
77.0%
IV Rank
59%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to DUOL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
DUOL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261029 $23.85 $18.65 77.0% 59%
20261028 $24.70 $17.85 79.3% 65%
20261027 $26.00 $20.30 79.3% 65%
20261026 $25.15 $7.28 78.5% 63%
20261023 $24.75 $8.15 77.8% 61%
20261022 $25.70 $9.75 79.5% 65%
20261021 $26.40 $10.10 85.1% 79%
20261020 $24.90 $11.10 78.1% 62%
20261019 $25.65 $7.55 78.5% 63%
20261016 $26.20 $9.48 81.3% 70%
20261015 $25.75 $10.05 76.8% 59%
20261014 $24.85 $8.95 78.0% 62%
20261013 $24.85 $9.95 77.5% 61%
20261012 $25.70 $6.50 75.3% 55%
20261009 $25.10 $7.20 74.8% 54%
20261008 $25.80 $8.78 75.6% 56%
20261007 $23.50 $10.12 67.4% 35%
20261006 $22.70 $10.03 64.8% 29%
20261005 $23.60 $6.75 65.2% 30%
20261002 $17.60 $7.92 59.3% 16%
20261001 $17.70 $9.25 56.0% 7%
20260930 $18.10 $10.20 55.9% 7%
20260929 $18.85 $10.88 58.0% 12%
20260928 $17.75 $7.20 55.9% 7%
20260925 $16.85 $8.20 54.3% 3%
20260924 $18.40 $9.48 55.3% 5%
20260923 $18.40 $10.38 55.4% 6%
20260922 $18.50 $10.40 54.5% 3%
20260921 $19.40 $8.30 56.4% 8%
20260918 $16.80 $8.15 54.3% 3%
20260917 $18.40 $9.90 56.1% 7%
20260916 $19.30 $10.90 56.5% 8%
20260915 $20.85 $10.85 57.9% 12%
20260914 $21.15 $7.88 58.7% 14%
20260911 $17.00 $7.28 55.3% 5%
20260910 $18.55 $9.68 57.9% 11%
20260909 $18.05 $10.12 57.4% 10%
20260908 $19.10 $11.90 56.1% 6%
20260904 $18.35 $9.43 54.3% 3%
20260903 $19.20 $8.95 54.1% 2%
20260902 $19.50 $10.75 54.2% 2%
20260901 $19.90 $11.95 54.5% 3%
20260831 $18.45 $6.38 53.6% 1%
20260828 $16.70 $7.90 53.1% 0%
20260827 $18.55 $9.30 57.5% 9%
20260826 $18.00 $10.20 56.3% 6%
20260825 $19.25 $11.40 57.0% 8%
20260824 $20.25 $7.55 58.1% 10%
20260821 $18.40 $9.50 56.2% 6%
20260820 $19.65 $9.98 59.4% 13%
20260819 $19.75 $11.70 59.0% 12%
20260818 $18.75 $11.70 57.9% 10%
20260817 $16.00 $6.07 53.3% 0%
20260814 $15.50 $8.40 53.5% 0%
20260813 $18.90 $10.45 58.4% 11%
20260812 $16.80 $9.43 54.4% 2%
20260811 $17.10 $9.22 53.5% 0%
20260810 $18.15 $7.48 57.8% 0%
20260807 — — 58.4% 0%
20260806 $15.85 $11.35 60.2% 1%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.