EFA · Expected Move

iShares MSCI EAFE ETF · ETF

The expected move for EFA is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

EFA straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current EFA Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.62
7-Day Straddle
$1.82
30-Day ATM IV
15.8%
IV Rank
61%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to EFA's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
EFA Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $3.62 $1.82 15.8% 61%
20261022 $3.71 $2.10 15.7% 60%
20261021 $3.58 $1.98 15.1% 52%
20261020 $3.58 $2.01 14.6% 42%
20261019 $3.50 $1.27 14.8% 32%
20261016 $3.54 $1.75 15.5% 39%
20261015 $3.66 $1.53 15.0% 35%
20261014 $3.66 $1.93 15.5% 39%
20261013 $3.43 $2.01 14.4% 30%
20261012 $3.63 $1.33 14.7% 32%
20261009 $3.22 $1.52 14.1% 27%
20261008 $3.84 $1.89 16.7% 49%
20261007 $3.46 $1.93 14.7% 32%
20261006 $3.67 $1.95 14.7% 32%
20261005 $3.40 $2.40 14.3% 29%
20261002 $3.54 $1.59 16.3% 46%
20261001 $3.88 $1.96 17.1% 53%
20260930 $4.03 $1.97 16.9% 52%
20260929 $3.72 $2.25 15.2% 36%
20260928 $3.20 $1.33 13.4% 20%
20260925 $3.53 $1.56 14.7% 32%
20260924 $3.47 $1.65 14.9% 33%
20260923 $3.41 $1.64 14.5% 30%
20260922 $3.91 $1.77 15.4% 38%
20260921 $3.49 $1.69 13.7% 23%
20260918 $3.09 $1.37 13.6% 22%
20260917 $3.30 $1.73 14.0% 26%
20260916 $3.92 $1.86 16.4% 47%
20260915 $3.90 $2.25 15.3% 37%
20260914 $3.67 $1.56 14.7% 32%
20260911 $3.21 $1.61 13.4% 20%
20260910 $3.75 $3.19 15.5% 39%
20260909 $2.99 $1.77 12.5% 13%
20260908 $3.33 $1.94 13.5% 21%
20260904 $2.94 $1.41 12.6% 13%
20260903 $3.13 $1.50 12.7% 14%
20260902 $3.25 $1.71 13.3% 19%
20260901 $3.38 $1.86 13.6% 20%
20260831 $3.20 $1.23 12.5% 12%
20260828 $2.75 $1.07 11.1% 0%
20260827 $3.04 $1.54 12.6% 1%
20260826 $3.18 $1.12 12.9% 4%
20260825 $3.31 $1.15 13.2% 7%
20260824 $3.47 $1.47 13.7% 11%
20260821 $3.26 $1.54 13.7% 11%
20260820 $3.44 $1.79 14.0% 14%
20260819 $3.33 $1.76 13.6% 11%
20260818 $3.51 $1.97 13.8% 13%
20260817 $3.46 $1.23 13.0% 5%
20260814 $2.94 $1.24 12.5% 0%
20260813 $3.12 $1.43 12.9% 0%
20260812 $3.27 $1.74 12.8% 0%
20260811 $3.46 $1.83 13.7% 2%
20260810 $3.58 $1.31 14.0% 3%
20260807 — — 13.4% 0%
20260806 $3.45 $1.75 14.2% 0%
20260805 $3.62 $2.14 14.2% 0%
20260804 $3.79 $2.11 14.6% 2%
20260803 $3.42 $1.33 14.7% 3%
20260731 $3.70 $1.71 15.3% 6%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.