ESML · Expected Move

iShares ESG Aware MSCI USA Small-Cap ETF · ETF

The expected move for ESML is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

ESML straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current ESML Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.42
7-Day Straddle
$2.42
30-Day ATM IV
20.1%
IV Rank
17%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ESML's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
ESML Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $2.42 $2.42 20.1% 17%
20261020 $2.52 $2.52 20.4% 19%
20261019 $2.52 $2.52 20.7% 20%
20261016 $2.67 $4.00 21.0% 22%
20261015 $2.60 $1.32 19.4% 10%
20261014 $2.70 $1.10 20.7% 17%
20261013 $2.80 $1.25 19.8% 12%
20261012 $2.80 $1.35 19.6% 11%
20261009 $2.80 $1.38 20.8% 17%
20261008 $2.95 $1.40 20.8% 18%
20261007 $3.05 $1.55 21.2% 20%
20261006 $3.02 $1.48 22.0% 24%
20261005 $3.08 $1.43 21.5% 22%
20261002 $1.58 $1.58 22.7% 28%
20261001 $1.80 $1.80 21.5% 21%
20260930 $1.85 $1.85 21.3% 20%
20260929 $1.88 $1.88 20.9% 18%
20260928 $1.95 $1.95 21.1% 19%
20260925 $1.95 $1.95 20.7% 17%
20260924 $1.98 $1.98 20.6% 16%
20260923 $2.02 $2.02 19.7% 11%
20260922 $2.10 $2.10 18.9% 7%
20260921 $2.02 $2.02 19.0% 7%
20260918 $2.08 $2.95 17.9% 1%
20260917 $2.27 $1.15 18.1% 2%
20260916 $2.48 $1.15 20.5% 16%
20260915 $2.47 $1.45 19.7% 11%
20260914 $2.45 $1.35 19.3% 9%
20260911 $2.58 $1.48 20.1% 13%
20260910 $2.85 $1.70 20.7% 17%
20260909 $2.65 $1.50 22.0% 24%
20260908 $2.52 $1.57 19.6% 11%
20260904 $2.62 $1.60 19.0% 7%
20260903 $2.70 $1.65 19.3% 9%
20260902 $1.83 $1.83 20.5% 16%
20260901 $1.90 $1.90 22.2% 25%
20260831 $1.80 $1.80 19.7% 11%
20260828 $1.93 $1.93 18.9% 7%
20260827 $1.93 $1.93 18.6% 5%
20260826 $2.10 $2.10 19.1% 8%
20260825 $2.25 $2.25 19.2% 8%
20260824 $2.27 $2.27 19.2% 9%
20260821 $2.27 $5.00 18.6% 4%
20260820 $2.50 $1.27 19.1% 7%
20260819 $2.30 $1.20 18.0% 1%
20260818 $2.35 $1.23 18.7% 5%
20260817 $2.38 $1.27 17.7% 0%
20260814 $2.42 $1.33 18.8% 0%
20260813 $2.52 $1.30 20.2% 0%
20260812 $2.55 $1.35 21.8% 0%
20260811 $2.67 $1.48 22.1% 0%
20260810 $3.55 $2.58 32.3% 45%
20260807 — — 31.4% 38%
20260806 $3.65 $2.73 28.8% 19%
20260805 $2.78 $2.78 28.7% 18%
20260804 $2.58 $2.58 27.2% 6%
20260803 $2.58 $2.58 27.3% 6%
20260731 $2.85 $2.85 30.1% 28%
20260730 $2.83 $2.83 30.1% 28%
20260729 $3.02 $3.02 30.4% 31%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.