ETHW · Expected Move
Bitwise Ethereum ETF · ETF
The expected move for ETHW is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
ETHW straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current ETHW Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.95
7-Day Straddle
$1.95
30-Day ATM IV
51.3%
IV Rank
5%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ETHW's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
ETHW Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261022 | $1.95 | $1.95 | 51.3% | 5% |
| 20261021 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 50.2% | 3% |
| 20261020 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 63.0% | 27% |
| 20261019 | $2.30 | $2.30 | 58.2% | 18% |
| 20261016 | $2.10 | $1.05 | 50.6% | 3% |
| 20261015 | $2.20 | $0.98 | 49.4% | 1% |
| 20261014 | $2.12 | $3.20 | 48.8% | 0% |
| 20261013 | $2.30 | $2.67 | 49.9% | 0% |
| 20261012 | $2.33 | $0.68 | — | — |
| 20260302 | $2.42 | $2.42 | 83.3% | 64% |
| 20260227 | $1.82 | $1.82 | 70.2% | 38% |
| 20260226 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 67.7% | 33% |
| 20260225 | $1.88 | $1.88 | 64.0% | 26% |
| 20260224 | $1.98 | $1.98 | 70.1% | 38% |
| 20260223 | $2.08 | $2.08 | 72.4% | 43% |
| 20260221 | $2.12 | $2.12 | — | — |
| 20260220 | $2.12 | $0.23 | 68.4% | 35% |
| 20260219 | $2.15 | $0.40 | 68.8% | 36% |
| 20260218 | $2.38 | $0.68 | 74.6% | 47% |
| 20260217 | $2.35 | $0.80 | 70.0% | 38% |
| 20260213 | $2.45 | $1.12 | 67.3% | 33% |
| 20260212 | $2.50 | $1.25 | 76.6% | 51% |
| 20260211 | $2.62 | $1.30 | 74.6% | 47% |
| 20260210 | $2.75 | $1.50 | 74.2% | 46% |
| 20260209 | $3.02 | $1.70 | 77.6% | 53% |
| 20260206 | $3.08 | $1.95 | 78.0% | 54% |
| 20260205 | $3.42 | $2.67 | 101.7% | 100% |
| 20260204 | $2.15 | $2.15 | 78.0% | 76% |
| 20260203 | $2.25 | $2.25 | 75.1% | 68% |
| 20260202 | $2.17 | $2.17 | 71.1% | 57% |
| 20260130 | $1.75 | $1.75 | 60.9% | 29% |
| 20260129 | $2.25 | $2.25 | 67.3% | 47% |
| 20260128 | $2.48 | $2.48 | 58.0% | 20% |
| 20260127 | $2.52 | $2.52 | 51.5% | 2% |
| 20260126 | $2.42 | $2.42 | 56.3% | 16% |
| 20260123 | $2.67 | $2.67 | 58.6% | 22% |
| 20260122 | $2.75 | $2.75 | 58.9% | 23% |
| 20260121 | $3.12 | $3.12 | 59.1% | 24% |
| 20260120 | $2.12 | $2.12 | 50.7% | 0% |
| 20260116 | $3.52 | $0.45 | 52.6% | 3% |
| 20260115 | $3.88 | $0.88 | 55.9% | 12% |
| 20260114 | $3.08 | $0.82 | — | — |
| 20260113 | $3.38 | $0.88 | 57.4% | 17% |
| 20260112 | $3.35 | $1.00 | 56.4% | 14% |
| 20260109 | $3.52 | $1.30 | 58.9% | 21% |
| 20260108 | $3.40 | $1.68 | 57.3% | 16% |
| 20260107 | $4.03 | $1.92 | 62.8% | 32% |
| 20260106 | $4.18 | $1.52 | 62.0% | 30% |
| 20260105 | $4.10 | $2.55 | 63.9% | 35% |
| 20260102 | $2.05 | $2.05 | 51.6% | 0% |
| 20251231 | $1.82 | $1.82 | 56.2% | 0% |
| 20251230 | $1.98 | $1.98 | 65.7% | 26% |
| 20251229 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 63.6% | 18% |
| 20251226 | $2.10 | $2.10 | 65.0% | 23% |
| 20251224 | $2.67 | $2.67 | 67.5% | 32% |
| 20251223 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 63.5% | 18% |
| 20251222 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 65.1% | 24% |
| 20251219 | $2.62 | $0.90 | 58.5% | 0% |
| 20251218 | $3.20 | $0.95 | 71.3% | 36% |
| 20251217 | $3.62 | $0.57 | 77.5% | 62% |
More on ETHW
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