FBTC · Expected Move
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund · ETF
The expected move for FBTC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
FBTC straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current FBTC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.30
7-Day Straddle
$3.47
30-Day ATM IV
37.5%
IV Rank
35%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to FBTC's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
FBTC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261021 | $6.30 | $3.47 | 37.5% | 35% |
| 20261020 | $6.47 | $3.52 | 38.4% | 41% |
| 20261019 | $6.35 | $2.58 | 37.8% | 37% |
| 20261016 | $6.03 | $2.60 | 38.6% | 42% |
| 20261015 | $6.45 | $3.03 | 39.9% | 50% |
| 20261014 | $5.85 | $3.25 | 36.3% | 20% |
| 20261013 | $6.17 | $3.45 | 36.9% | 23% |
| 20261012 | $6.60 | $1.85 | 38.1% | 29% |
| 20261009 | $5.45 | $2.33 | 35.6% | 17% |
| 20261008 | $6.17 | $3.12 | 38.7% | 32% |
| 20261007 | $6.00 | $3.12 | 36.3% | 20% |
| 20261006 | $6.17 | $3.42 | 35.6% | 17% |
| 20261005 | $6.32 | $1.52 | 36.2% | 20% |
| 20261002 | $6.00 | $1.90 | 35.4% | 16% |
| 20261001 | $6.12 | $3.15 | 37.1% | 24% |
| 20260930 | $6.72 | $3.40 | 39.2% | 34% |
| 20260929 | $6.22 | $3.38 | 36.5% | 21% |
| 20260928 | $6.45 | $2.45 | 37.7% | 27% |
| 20260925 | $6.07 | $2.10 | 37.5% | 26% |
| 20260924 | $6.33 | $2.42 | 38.2% | 29% |
| 20260923 | $6.57 | $3.83 | 39.0% | 33% |
| 20260922 | $6.45 | $3.88 | 37.0% | 24% |
| 20260921 | $7.18 | $2.60 | 40.4% | 40% |
| 20260918 | $6.05 | $2.92 | 36.8% | 23% |
| 20260917 | $5.17 | $2.88 | 32.1% | 0% |
| 20260916 | $5.60 | $2.92 | 37.2% | 24% |
| 20260915 | $6.07 | $3.92 | 39.9% | 37% |
| 20260914 | $5.97 | $2.60 | 36.8% | 22% |
| 20260911 | $5.58 | $2.80 | 37.7% | 26% |
| 20260910 | $5.72 | $3.15 | 38.2% | 28% |
| 20260909 | $6.15 | $3.70 | 39.8% | 36% |
| 20260908 | $5.95 | $3.42 | 38.8% | 32% |
| 20260904 | $6.00 | $2.62 | 38.9% | 32% |
| 20260903 | $6.70 | $3.65 | 41.2% | 43% |
| 20260902 | $5.43 | $3.02 | 36.0% | 18% |
| 20260901 | $6.03 | $2.98 | 38.2% | 29% |
| 20260831 | $5.95 | $1.73 | 36.5% | 20% |
| 20260828 | $5.68 | $3.30 | 38.9% | 32% |
| 20260827 | $6.05 | $2.83 | 40.0% | 37% |
| 20260826 | $6.55 | $3.30 | 39.4% | 35% |
| 20260825 | $6.60 | $4.38 | 40.8% | 41% |
| 20260824 | $7.20 | $3.33 | 43.8% | 56% |
| 20260821 | $6.02 | $3.35 | 39.9% | 37% |
| 20260820 | $5.62 | $2.80 | 39.7% | 36% |
| 20260819 | $5.00 | $2.75 | 36.5% | 20% |
| 20260818 | $4.35 | $2.40 | 33.5% | 6% |
| 20260817 | $4.53 | $1.50 | 33.8% | 7% |
| 20260814 | $4.03 | $1.48 | 33.2% | 5% |
| 20260813 | $4.12 | $1.85 | 33.6% | 6% |
| 20260812 | $4.10 | $1.70 | 32.3% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $4.38 | $2.27 | 34.1% | 4% |
| 20260810 | $4.53 | $1.55 | 34.8% | 7% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 34.0% | 3% |
| 20260806 | $4.47 | $2.23 | 35.5% | 10% |
| 20260805 | $4.45 | $2.15 | 34.8% | 7% |
| 20260804 | $4.70 | $2.38 | 35.7% | 11% |
| 20260803 | $4.32 | $1.65 | 33.4% | 0% |
| 20260731 | $4.33 | $2.05 | 35.5% | 5% |
| 20260730 | $4.62 | $2.45 | 36.5% | 10% |
| 20260729 | $4.70 | $2.67 | 37.2% | 13% |
More on FBTC
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.