FUFUW BitFuFu Inc. Warrant

XNAS
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading

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FUFUW — —
Key stats
About
Exchange
XNAS
Employees
29
List Date
2024-03-01
CIK
0001921158
Homepage
https://www.bitfufu.com

BitFuFu Inc is a digital asset mining and cloud-mining service provider that fosters a secure, compliant, and transparent blockchain infrastructure. It provides stable and intelligent digital asset mining solutions, including one-stop cloud-mining services and miner hosting services to institutional customers and individual digital assets. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the sale of cloud-mining solutions, followed by Bitcoin Self-mining revenue, Sales of mining equipment, Hosting services and others. Geographically, the company generates revenue from North America, Asia…

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
'24'25'26Avg
Jan---27.07%6.33%-10.37%
Feb--14.27%-21.76%-3.75%
Mar29.66%9.97%-34.21%1.81%
Apr-54.55%-33.43%60.03%-9.32%
May11.11%13.56%-6.23%6.15%
Jun83.57%-1.34%-12.56%23.22%
Jul30.56%4.81%-14.10%7.09%
Aug-2.72%1.59%15.38%4.75%
Sep-6.50%14.31%15.61%7.81%
Oct24.56%-7.72%-40.50%-7.89%
Nov-9.52%-33.27%-15.62%*-19.47%
Dec22.22%-8.88%--6.67%
Total96.61%-53.32%-58.69%-5.13%
* Only 3 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $0.16
SMA 50: $0.15
SMA 200: $0.20
Current: $0.09
EMA 12: $0.13
EMA 26: $0.14
MACD: -0.0156 | Signal: -0.0086
BEARISH
ADX (14): 19.74
RANGE
+DI: 28.79
−DI: 38.70

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 34.44
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 4.14
Stoch %D: 2.12
Williams %R: -87.90

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $0.22
BB Lower: $0.09
NEUTRAL
OBV: 34,006
Vol SMA 20: 12,130
Vol ROC: -68.19%
ATR: $0.02
True Range: $0.05
HV 20: 158.1%
HV 30: 170.0%
HV 60: 153.4%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-07-02T00:00:00 – 2026-11-06T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: FUFUW

Executive Summary

BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)

Key Drivers:

  • Technical indicators suggest a potential uptrend, with MACD and RSI indicating bearish momentum.
  • News sentiment is generally positive, with recent headlines highlighting operational updates and financial results.

Primary Risks:

  • High volatility, as measured by beta and stock volatility metrics.
  • Negative news sentiment may trigger significant price movements.

Investment Thesis: FUFUW presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. The recent uptrend may continue if the company's operational updates and financial results are well-received by investors. However, the stock's high volatility and negative news sentiment pose significant risks to investors.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: The positive sentiment from the August 2026 Bitcoin production and operational updates has contributed to the stock's recent uptrend. The negativity surrounding the unaudited first quarter 2026 financial results and full-year 2025 financial results may still impact the stock's price if not addressed in future announcements.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction:

  • Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bearish
  • Medium-term (1-3 months): Range-bound
  • Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish

Support/Resistance Levels: SMA 20: $0.14 SMA 50: $0.16 SMA 200: $0.24 EMA 12: $0.14 EMA 26: $0.15 Bollinger Bands:

  • Upper: $0.17
  • Middle: $0.14
  • Lower: $0.11

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI (14): 58.18 (neutral)
  • MACD: -0.00 / Signal: 0.01 / Histogram: -0.01 (bearish)

Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 13839.90 On-Balance Volume (OBV): 189723.86 Volume Rate of Change: 3498.96%

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Positive sentiment from August 2026 Bitcoin production and operational updates.

Sentiment Assessment: Neutral, with a slight bias towards positive due to recent news headlines.

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings announcements may impact the stock's price.

Market Narrative: The market is currently range-bound, with FUFUW's technical indicators suggesting a potential uptrend.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta 2.95 vs SPY).

Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels.

Options Market Signals: No options data available.

Downside Protection:

  • Support level: $0.14 (SMA 20)
  • Risk management considerations: Use stop-loss orders at critical price levels.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: FUFUW is outperforming the broader market sector.

Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggest institutional interest in the stock.

Correlation Analysis: The stock has a low correlation with the broader market (R-squared 0.26).

Relative Valuation: The stock is trading within its historical range.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Support level: $0.14 (SMA 20)
  • Resistance level: $0.17 (Bollinger Bands Upper)

Breakout/Breakdown Levels:

  • Breakout: $0.24 (SMA 200)
  • Breakdown: $0.11 (Bollinger Bands Lower)

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings announcements may impact the stock's price.

Risk Management: Use stop-loss orders at critical price levels and consider scaling into a position based on risk tolerance.

Generated

FUFUW Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Loading the implied volatility surface…

Volatility Smile

Loading the implied volatility smile…

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 2.3344
Alpha: -90.83%
Correlation: 0.2198
R-Squared: 4.8%
Stock Volatility: 149.5%
Market Volatility: 14.1%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 182
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

FUFUW Institutional Ownership (13F)

Filings for 2026-06-30 · 1 already for 2026-09-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

12 filers1,822,309 shares$443.10K value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC 155,000 $218.55K 49.32% — 2026-06-30
2 Saba Capital Management, L.P. 414,140 $49.28K 11.12% — 2026-06-30
3 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 330,000 $46.17K 10.42% — 2026-06-30
4 Clear Street Group Inc. 271,407 $37.97K 8.57% — 2026-06-30
5 LMR Partners LLP 267,051 $37.36K 8.43% — 2026-06-30
6 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 150,000 $21.75K 4.91% — 2026-06-30
7 TORONTO DOMINION BANK 122,309 $17.12K 3.86% — 2026-06-30
8 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 48,769 $5.80K 1.31% — 2026-06-30
9 Virtu Financial LLC 28,835 $4.00K 0.90% — 2026-06-30
10 Apollon Wealth Management, LLC 14,500 $2.90K 0.65% — 2026-09-30
11 SPROTT INC. 15,000 $1.62K 0.37% — 2026-06-30
12 UBS Group AG Custodian 5,298 $572 0.13% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period

FUFUW Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-04-16
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-04-16 Celine Lu Senior Vice President Grant (A) +480,000 RSU — EDGAR
2026-04-16 Joshua Kewei Cui Director Grant (A) +35,000 RSU — EDGAR
2026-04-16 Huaiyu Liu Director Grant (A) +35,000 RSU — EDGAR
2026-04-16 Calla Zhao Chief Financial Officer Grant (A) +224,000 RSU — EDGAR
2026-04-16 Yeeli Hua Zheng Director Grant (A) +35,000 RSU — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.