GDX · Expected Move
VanEck Gold Miners ETF · ETF
The expected move for GDX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
GDX straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current GDX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$8.12
7-Day Straddle
$4.06
30-Day ATM IV
41.6%
IV Rank
22%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to GDX's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
GDX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261016 | $8.12 | $4.06 | 41.6% | 22% |
| 20261015 | $8.03 | $3.38 | 41.0% | 17% |
| 20261014 | $8.28 | $3.59 | 43.4% | 36% |
| 20261013 | $7.85 | $3.12 | 38.9% | 0% |
| 20261012 | $8.18 | $3.34 | 39.0% | 0% |
| 20261009 | $8.07 | $3.70 | 39.9% | 5% |
| 20261008 | $7.97 | $4.23 | 40.9% | 13% |
| 20261007 | $7.88 | $4.25 | 40.3% | 8% |
| 20261006 | $8.12 | $4.53 | 39.6% | 2% |
| 20261005 | $8.03 | $3.04 | 39.3% | 0% |
| 20261002 | $7.75 | $3.71 | 40.1% | 0% |
| 20261001 | $7.83 | $3.97 | 40.4% | 0% |
| 20260930 | $8.23 | $4.46 | 40.6% | 0% |
| 20260929 | $8.57 | $4.84 | 41.6% | 5% |
| 20260928 | $8.85 | $3.38 | 42.2% | 10% |
| 20260925 | $8.50 | $4.00 | 41.4% | 2% |
| 20260924 | $8.78 | $4.69 | 42.3% | 11% |
| 20260923 | $8.82 | $4.83 | 41.2% | 1% |
| 20260922 | $9.60 | $5.62 | 42.5% | 14% |
| 20260921 | $9.15 | $3.75 | 41.1% | 0% |
| 20260918 | $8.72 | $4.28 | 41.6% | 3% |
| 20260917 | $9.25 | $4.75 | 43.0% | 18% |
| 20260916 | $9.32 | $5.77 | 44.1% | 28% |
| 20260915 | $9.70 | $5.86 | 44.5% | 32% |
| 20260914 | $9.85 | $4.07 | 44.4% | 32% |
| 20260911 | $9.25 | $4.67 | 43.5% | 23% |
| 20260910 | $9.93 | $5.70 | 46.2% | 49% |
| 20260909 | $10.18 | $6.00 | 44.9% | 37% |
| 20260908 | $10.70 | $6.46 | 46.9% | 56% |
| 20260904 | $9.50 | $4.49 | 43.5% | 22% |
| 20260903 | $10.05 | $5.08 | 44.1% | 28% |
| 20260902 | $10.00 | $5.31 | 44.8% | 35% |
| 20260901 | $10.00 | $5.45 | 45.2% | 40% |
| 20260831 | $10.20 | $3.95 | 43.2% | 19% |
| 20260828 | $9.90 | $5.08 | 45.2% | 40% |
| 20260827 | $10.65 | $5.68 | 45.5% | 42% |
| 20260826 | $11.12 | $6.18 | 47.6% | 63% |
| 20260825 | $11.85 | $7.12 | 48.6% | 73% |
| 20260824 | $12.50 | $5.11 | 51.3% | 100% |
| 20260821 | $11.22 | $5.69 | 49.5% | 83% |
| 20260820 | $10.75 | $5.89 | 48.0% | 68% |
| 20260819 | $10.07 | $5.84 | 45.6% | 44% |
| 20260818 | $8.77 | $4.90 | 42.4% | 11% |
| 20260817 | $9.45 | $3.75 | 43.3% | 18% |
| 20260814 | $8.10 | $3.96 | 41.5% | 2% |
| 20260813 | $8.30 | $4.24 | 41.3% | 0% |
| 20260812 | $8.80 | $5.01 | 42.5% | 7% |
| 20260811 | $9.25 | $5.62 | 44.3% | 17% |
| 20260810 | $9.47 | $3.95 | 44.4% | 17% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 42.8% | 9% |
| 20260806 | $8.35 | $4.65 | 44.5% | 17% |
| 20260805 | $8.28 | $4.58 | 43.2% | 10% |
| 20260804 | $7.30 | $4.54 | 41.3% | 0% |
| 20260803 | $7.43 | $3.08 | 41.8% | 2% |
| 20260731 | $6.72 | $3.41 | 42.5% | 5% |
| 20260730 | $7.38 | $3.78 | 43.1% | 9% |
| 20260729 | $7.49 | $4.73 | 44.2% | 14% |
| 20260728 | $7.42 | $4.95 | 43.5% | 10% |
| 20260727 | $7.11 | $3.17 | 41.6% | 1% |
| 20260724 | $6.97 | $3.47 | 41.5% | 0% |
More on GDX
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.