GOP · Expected Move
Subversive Congressional Republicans Trading ETF · ETF
The expected move for GOP is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
GOP straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current GOP Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.92
7-Day Straddle
$2.10
30-Day ATM IV
24.4%
IV Rank
10%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to GOP's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
GOP Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261009 | $2.92 | $2.10 | 24.4% | 10% |
| 20261008 | $2.85 | $2.05 | 29.8% | 29% |
| 20261007 | $2.98 | $2.17 | 25.7% | 15% |
| 20261006 | $2.23 | $2.12 | 33.4% | 41% |
| 20261005 | $3.00 | $2.17 | 30.1% | 30% |
| 20261002 | $2.30 | $2.30 | 25.4% | 14% |
| 20261001 | $2.28 | $2.28 | 26.6% | 18% |
| 20260930 | $2.33 | $2.33 | 21.7% | 1% |
| 20260929 | $2.35 | $2.35 | 21.5% | 1% |
| 20260928 | $2.33 | $2.33 | 21.3% | 0% |
| 20260925 | $2.42 | $2.42 | 24.2% | 9% |
| 20260924 | $2.42 | $2.42 | 22.6% | 3% |
| 20260923 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 24.2% | 7% |
| 20260922 | $2.65 | $2.65 | 31.1% | 24% |
| 20260921 | $2.67 | $2.67 | 29.0% | 17% |
| 20260918 | $2.70 | $5.78 | 22.9% | 3% |
| 20260917 | $10.00 | $10.00 | 22.8% | 3% |
| 20260916 | $2.55 | $2.08 | 26.0% | 10% |
| 20260915 | $2.72 | $2.27 | 21.4% | 0% |
| 20260914 | $2.65 | $2.25 | 27.3% | 6% |
| 20260911 | $2.67 | $2.25 | 28.3% | 8% |
| 20260910 | $2.90 | $2.38 | 32.4% | 18% |
| 20260909 | $2.72 | $2.27 | 27.3% | 6% |
| 20260908 | $2.80 | $2.30 | 24.8% | 0% |
| 20260904 | $2.80 | $2.33 | 34.4% | 20% |
| 20260903 | $2.70 | $2.08 | 30.8% | 11% |
| 20260902 | $2.38 | $2.38 | 33.4% | 18% |
| 20260901 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 38.0% | 29% |
| 20260831 | $2.45 | $2.45 | 37.8% | 29% |
| 20260828 | $2.35 | $2.35 | 40.7% | 36% |
| 20260827 | $2.50 | $2.50 | 41.4% | 38% |
| 20260826 | $2.60 | $2.60 | 41.9% | 39% |
| 20260825 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 42.4% | 40% |
| 20260824 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 43.7% | 43% |
| 20260821 | $2.65 | $5.75 | 45.2% | 47% |
| 20260820 | $2.75 | $1.82 | 46.1% | 49% |
| 20260819 | $2.65 | $2.17 | 46.6% | 50% |
| 20260818 | $2.80 | $0.55 | 45.8% | 49% |
| 20260817 | $2.83 | $2.35 | 45.9% | 49% |
| 20260814 | $2.95 | $2.10 | 44.9% | 46% |
| 20260813 | $2.95 | $2.48 | 44.4% | 44% |
| 20260812 | $2.80 | $2.27 | 43.5% | 42% |
| 20260811 | $2.80 | $2.28 | 42.0% | 38% |
| 20260810 | $6.85 | $3.03 | 41.4% | 37% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 39.9% | 33% |
| 20260806 | $10.00 | $3.15 | 39.7% | 32% |
| 20260805 | $3.25 | $3.25 | 39.4% | 32% |
| 20260804 | $2.90 | $2.90 | 42.7% | 40% |
| 20260803 | $3.05 | $3.05 | 30.9% | 11% |
| 20260731 | $3.25 | $3.25 | 29.0% | 7% |
| 20260730 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 28.5% | 5% |
| 20260729 | $3.30 | $3.30 | 39.1% | 31% |
| 20260728 | $3.45 | $3.45 | 26.5% | 0% |
| 20260727 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 29.7% | 8% |
| 20260724 | $3.60 | $3.60 | 39.4% | 32% |
| 20260723 | $2.80 | $2.80 | 39.9% | 33% |
| 20260722 | $3.50 | $3.50 | 39.8% | 33% |
| 20260721 | $3.55 | $3.55 | 39.3% | 31% |
| 20260720 | $3.60 | $3.60 | 37.4% | 27% |
| 20260716 | $6.75 | $5.65 | 45.0% | 45% |
More on GOP
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