HG · Expected Move

Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. Class B Common Shares

The expected move for HG is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

HG straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current HG Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$2.70
7-Day Straddle
$2.70
30-Day ATM IV
33.0%
IV Rank
28%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to HG's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
HG Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $2.70 $2.70 33.0% 28%
20261021 $4.42 $4.42 44.2% 75%
20261020 $3.77 $3.77 39.1% 54%
20261019 $3.95 $3.95 43.0% 70%
20261016 $4.05 $1.85 41.4% 63%
20261015 $3.00 $0.93 — —
20261014 $2.73 $1.10 30.9% 19%
20261013 $3.20 $1.70 35.8% 40%
20261012 $3.27 $1.02 36.4% 43%
20261009 $2.72 $0.93 30.7% 18%
20261008 $2.80 $1.75 42.7% 69%
20261007 $3.25 $1.77 36.3% 42%
20261006 $3.05 $1.60 33.3% 29%
20261005 $3.15 $1.52 33.2% 29%
20261002 $2.08 $2.08 32.8% 27%
20261001 $1.85 $1.85 40.0% 58%
20260930 $1.82 $1.82 33.7% 31%
20260929 $1.48 $1.48 26.3% 0%
20260928 $1.85 $1.85 33.6% 30%
20260925 $2.38 $2.38 34.7% 35%
20260924 $1.78 $1.78 28.9% 10%
20260923 $2.30 $2.30 36.7% 43%
20260922 $2.50 $2.50 32.4% 25%
20260921 $2.02 $2.02 29.9% 14%
20260918 $2.62 $2.30 34.1% 32%
20260917 $2.78 $1.67 35.2% 37%
20260916 $2.33 $1.90 29.0% 10%
20260915 $2.88 $1.02 35.3% 37%
20260914 $2.35 $1.30 28.7% 9%
20260911 $2.62 $1.88 28.6% 9%
20260910 $2.70 $1.02 30.6% 17%
20260909 $2.67 $1.65 31.5% 21%
20260908 $2.90 $1.20 32.3% 24%
20260904 $2.70 $1.90 29.4% 12%
20260903 $2.80 $1.67 27.8% 6%
20260902 $1.58 $1.58 26.5% 0%
20260901 $2.15 $2.15 32.8% 25%
20260831 $1.40 $1.40 26.9% 0%
20260828 $2.02 $2.02 30.4% 13%
20260827 $1.62 $1.62 27.5% 0%
20260826 $1.73 $1.73 31.1% 13%
20260825 $2.40 $2.40 32.5% 16%
20260824 $2.30 $2.30 31.8% 13%
20260821 $2.45 $0.42 31.8% 13%
20260820 $2.40 $1.62 30.8% 9%
20260819 $2.97 $1.08 35.9% 27%
20260818 $2.42 $1.58 29.7% 5%
20260817 $2.75 $1.48 33.1% 18%
20260814 $2.42 $1.15 28.2% 0%
20260813 $3.12 $1.83 35.2% 25%
20260812 $2.42 $1.52 28.2% 0%
20260811 $2.97 $1.30 33.1% 14%
20260810 $2.47 $2.00 32.0% 10%
20260807 — — 35.7% 24%
20260806 $3.75 $2.53 40.3% 41%
20260805 $3.50 $3.50 50.1% 77%
20260804 $2.50 $2.50 41.5% 45%
20260803 $3.15 $3.15 40.2% 41%
20260731 $3.02 $3.02 38.8% 36%
20260730 $3.27 $3.27 44.0% 55%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.