IAU · Expected Move

iShares Gold Trust · ETF

The expected move for IAU is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

IAU straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current IAU Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.50
7-Day Straddle
$1.92
30-Day ATM IV
19.2%
IV Rank
12%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to IAU's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
IAU Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $3.50 $1.92 19.2% 12%
20261020 $3.75 $2.33 20.7% 18%
20261019 $3.75 $1.02 20.4% 17%
20261016 $3.65 $1.57 20.8% 18%
20261015 $3.70 $1.92 20.9% 18%
20261014 $3.83 $1.95 21.5% 21%
20261013 $3.82 $2.02 20.9% 19%
20261012 $4.05 $1.35 21.4% 20%
20260302 $7.62 $3.72 32.0% 59%
20260227 $6.95 $3.83 31.5% 57%
20260226 $6.75 $3.75 30.5% 53%
20260225 $7.10 $4.10 31.9% 59%
20260224 $7.85 $4.62 34.8% 69%
20260223 $8.30 $3.58 35.6% 72%
20260221 $6.95 $3.75 — —
20260220 $6.95 $3.75 32.4% 61%
20260219 $6.43 $3.48 30.4% 53%
20260218 $6.55 $3.25 30.3% 53%
20260217 $6.07 $3.80 28.5% 46%
20260213 $5.88 $2.55 27.7% 44%
20260212 $5.90 $3.33 28.1% 45%
20260211 $5.75 $3.15 26.8% 40%
20260210 $6.00 $3.42 27.0% 42%
20260209 $7.17 $2.95 31.9% 59%
20260206 $6.53 $3.90 32.2% 60%
20260205 $6.40 $4.35 32.0% 60%
20260204 $7.50 $4.82 35.5% 72%
20260203 $7.75 $5.60 36.7% 76%
20260202 $6.45 $3.65 32.9% 63%
20260130 $8.60 $5.72 40.9% 92%
20260129 $9.80 $7.00 43.2% 100%
20260128 $8.75 $5.97 37.8% 100%
20260127 $7.50 $4.60 32.8% 100%
20260126 $7.00 $2.88 31.1% 92%
20260123 $5.82 $3.23 28.1% 75%
20260122 $5.47 $3.20 26.1% 64%
20260121 $5.22 $3.28 25.5% 61%
20260120 $4.83 $3.00 23.1% 48%
20260116 $4.17 $1.75 21.4% 39%
20260115 $4.22 $2.10 21.7% 40%
20260114 $4.70 $2.45 23.3% 49%
20260113 $4.55 $2.75 22.8% 46%
20260112 $4.78 $1.90 23.7% 51%
20260109 $4.17 $1.95 22.2% 43%
20260108 $4.80 $2.17 30.0% 86%
20260107 $4.40 $2.48 22.9% 47%
20260106 $4.60 $2.73 23.3% 49%
20260105 $4.72 $1.85 23.2% 49%
20260102 $4.15 $2.05 23.0% 47%
20251231 $4.20 $2.03 22.6% 46%
20251230 $4.82 $2.80 24.3% 55%
20251229 $4.68 $1.95 24.4% 56%
20251226 $5.42 $2.02 27.6% 74%
20251224 $4.22 $2.05 21.9% 44%
20251223 $4.43 $2.33 22.7% 48%
20251222 $4.83 $1.30 23.3% 51%
20251219 $3.38 $1.38 18.8% 27%
20251218 $3.75 $2.00 19.8% 33%
20251217 $3.80 $1.73 20.1% 35%
20251216 $3.67 $1.90 19.4% 31%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.