IONX Defiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF

ETF 27.41 Delayed

ETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

IONX $27.41 —
Key stats
$27.41
After hours $27.85 +1.59%
52-Week Range
$16.80 – $311.87
YTD
-60.99%
IV Rank (30D)
5.16
Straddle Price
$6.30
P/C Vol Ratio
0.44
About

Defiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF (IONX) ETF

Exchange
XNAS
Inception
2025-03-11
Has Options
Yes
ETF Profile
holdings as of 2026-04-30
Holdings
8
AUM
$12.2M
Provider
Nport
Inception
2025-03-11
Exchange
XNAS
Data As Of
2026-04-30
Expense Ratio
—
Dividend Yield
2.02%
Distribution
—
Recent distributions
Ex-Date Pay Date Amount Type
2025-12-30 2025-12-31 $0.5533 SC
Asset Allocation
Top Holdings
top 8 of 8 holdings
Symbol Name Weight % Asset Class Country
— TREASURY BILL 15.34% Debt US
— First American Government Obli 5.23% Short-term investment US
— N/A -0.81% Derivative (equity) US
— N/A -1.71% Derivative (equity) US
— N/A -2.27% Derivative (equity) US
— N/A -2.40% Derivative (equity) US
— N/A -2.75% Derivative (equity) US
— N/A -4.09% Derivative (equity) US
Non-Equity Breakdown
Defiance Daily Target 2X Long IONQ ETF · NPORT-P period 2026-04-30 (filed 2026-03-31)
Net assets: $187M · 8 total positions · equity 0.00% · non-equity 6.54%
Non-equity holdings — 8 positions, 6.54% of NAV
Category Weight Value Positions
US Treasury 15.34% $28.7M 1
Short-term investment 5.23% $9.8M 1
Derivative (equity) -14.02% $-26223698 6
Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan -28.82% 1
Feb -22.24% 1
Mar -19.39% 2
Apr +60.89% 2
May +104.15% 2
Jun -18.47% 2
Jul -36.04% 2
Aug +12.18% 2
Sep +67.42% 2
Oct -9.38% 1
Nov -44.21% 1
Dec -24.40% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $23.68
SMA 50: $24.93
SMA 200: $44.23
Current: $27.41
EMA 12: $25.93
EMA 26: $25.39
MACD: 0.5428 | Signal: 0.9277
BEARISH
ADX (14): 17.68
RANGE
+DI: 29.30
−DI: 14.66

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 55.11
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 66.67
Stoch %D: 74.95
Williams %R: -35.40

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $29.96
BB Lower: $17.40
NEUTRAL
OBV: 9,887,851
Vol SMA 20: 1,456,601
Vol ROC: 61.66%
ATR: $3.43
True Range: $4.31
HV 20: 107.7%
HV 30: 135.0%
HV 60: 151.3%

Data Summary

Data Points: 391
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-03-12T00:00:00 – 2026-09-30T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 8/10)

Key Drivers:

  • Bearish momentum signals from MACD
  • Strong downtrend in place, with price below all SMAs
  • High volatility and beta indicating increased risk

Primary Risks:

  • Continued selling pressure from technical breakdowns
  • Earnings misses or guidance disappointments

Investment Thesis: IONX is a high-risk stock with significant bearish momentum. The strong downtrend suggests a potential continuation of the sell-off, while the high volatility and beta indicate an increased risk profile.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: No recent news headlines available; however, this lack of news may be contributing to the ongoing sell-off.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bearish, Medium-term (1-3 months): Bearish, Long-term (3-12 months): Neutral

Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels from moving averages and technical patterns:

  • Lower: $16.94 (Bollinger Band lower)
  • Middle: $24.81 (SMA 20, SMA 50)

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: Neutral (40.97), not overbought or oversold
  • MACD signal: Bearish momentum, with a large histogram indicating further selling pressure
  • Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, suggesting potential for increased volatility

Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:

  • On-Balance Volume (OBV): 6313439.02 (high volume), indicating significant buying pressure in recent past
  • Volume Rate of Change: 7.85% (increasing volume), suggesting further price movement

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available.

Sentiment Assessment: Neutral, as there is no recent news to drive sentiment.

Catalyst Identification: None identified, but potential earnings misses or guidance disappointments could impact the stock negatively.

Market Narrative: The lack of news headlines and bearish technical signals suggest a market narrative that is unfavorable for IONX.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: High risk relative to the market (beta: 7.07).

Volatility Regime: Current volatility regime is higher than historical levels.

Options Market Signals:

  • IV Rank: 0.9% (Low), indicating historically low implied volatility
  • Current IV: 152.7%, suggesting a relatively high level of implied volatility
  • Expected Move: $6.95 (32 DTE) and 7-DTE: $2.78, indicating potential for price movement

Downside Protection: Support levels at $16.94 (Bollinger Band lower) and $24.81 (SMA 20, SMA 50), with a risk management stop-loss level around $22.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: IONX is part of the Technology sector, which has been performing poorly recently.

Institutional Activity: Institutional interest signals are mixed, with both buying and selling pressure present in recent days.

Correlation Analysis: The stock's correlation to the market (R-squared) is relatively high, indicating a strong link between the two.

Relative Valuation: IONX is currently trading near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting potential for further price decline.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels: Support levels at $16.94 and $24.81, with resistance at the upper Bollinger Band ($32.67).

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: A breakdown below $16.94 could indicate a strong downtrend continuation.

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No immediate catalysts identified, but potential earnings misses or guidance disappointments in upcoming quarters could impact the stock negatively.

Risk Management: Consider stop-loss levels around $22 to manage risk, with potential for price movement to $6.95 (32 DTE) and 7-DTE: $2.78.

Generated
News
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
5.16
IV Rank (7D)
5.16
Avg IV
155.8%
Straddle (30D)
$6.30
Straddle (7D)
$6.30
P/C Volume
0.44
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
7.08
Correlation (SPY)
49.3%
R²
0.24
Ann. Volatility
186.7%
SPY Volatility
13.0%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Constituent Performance

Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.

Constituents
Symbol Name Weight % Price 1 Day 1 Week 1 Month