Inflection Point Acquisition Corp. III Class A Ordinary Shares(IPCX)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

IPCX — —
Snapshot
Info
Industry (SIC)
BLANK CHECKS (6770)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.1B

Inflection Point Acquisition Corp III is a special purpose acquisition company formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses.

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +0.05% 1
Feb -0.10% 1
Mar +0.25% 1
Apr +0.88% 1
May +0.19% 1
Jun +0.02% 2
Jul -7.73% 2
Aug -22.20% 2
Sep -0.46% 1
Oct +0.89% 1
Nov -1.08% 1
Dec +0.40% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $7.19
SMA 50: $9.08
SMA 200: $9.92
Current: $3.95
EMA 12: $5.36
EMA 26: $7.02
MACD: -1.6554 | Signal: -0.2979
BEARISH
ADX (14): 62.29
STRONG TREND
+DI: 6.33
−DI: 32.08

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 25.32
OVERSOLD
Stoch %K: 2.53
Stoch %D: 7.31
Williams %R: -97.21

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $12.81
BB Lower: $1.57
NEUTRAL
OBV: 3,107,896
Vol SMA 20: 134,274
Vol ROC: 508.27%
ATR: $0.95
True Range: $0.75
HV 20: 284.0%
HV 30: 232.9%
HV 60: 165.3%

Data Summary

Data Points: 276
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-06-16T00:00:00 – 2026-08-14T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Here is my comprehensive stock analysis report for IPCX:

Executive Summary

  • Overall assessment: NEUTRAL (confidence level 6/10)
  • Key drivers: Technical signals, recent news sentiment impact
  • Primary risks: Volatility, correlation with market
  • Investment thesis: Wait-and-see approach until further confirmation of trend direction or catalysts emerge.
  • Recent news sentiment impact: Positive news headline on A1R WATER's going public on Nasdaq, likely to have a short-term positive impact.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Medium-term (1-3 months) - Uptrend based on MACD and ADX signals. However, RSI is neutral, indicating no strong momentum.

Support/Resistance Levels: Key price levels from moving averages:

  • SMA 20: $10.30
  • SMA 50: $10.26
  • SMA 200: $10.18

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI interpretation: Neutral (65.39)
  • MACD signal: Bullish (0.01 / Signal: -0.00 / Histogram: 0.02)
  • Bollinger Bands position: Neutral (middle band at $10.30, price within the bands)

Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:

  • Volume SMA 20: 98847.30
  • On-Balance Volume (OBV): 2032041.80
  • Volume Rate of Change: 4910.30%

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Key themes from last 10 news articles - A1R WATER's going public on Nasdaq.

Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate news sentiment - Positive (POSITIVE headline).

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming events, earnings, product launches, regulatory changes - None reported.

Market Narrative: How news aligns with or contradicts technical signals - The positive news headline is likely to have a short-term positive impact on the stock price.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: Risk relative to market (beta 0.04) - Low volatility, correlation with market (correlation coefficient 0.11).

Volatility Regime: Current vs historical volatility levels:

  • Stock Volatility: 0.04
  • Historical Volatility: HV20 0.9%, HV30 1.3%, HV60 1.5%

Options Market Signals:

  • IV Premium vs HV30: N/A (positive = implied richer than realized)

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: Relative strength vs sector/market - Not applicable.

Institutional Activity: Volume patterns suggesting institutional interest signals:

  • Volume SMA 20: 98847.30
  • On-Balance Volume (OBV): 2032041.80
  • Volume Rate of Change: 4910.30%

Correlation Analysis: How stock moves relative to market (R-squared interpretation) - Low correlation coefficient (0.11).

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels: Support/resistance to monitor:

  • SMA 20: $10.30
  • SMA 50: $10.26
  • SMA 200: $10.18

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves:

  • None reported.

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Earnings dates, FDA approvals, product launches - No earnings data available.

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations:

  • Consider setting a stop-loss at SMA 20 ($10.30) or SMA 50 ($10.26) to limit potential losses.
  • Position size should be adjusted according to individual risk tolerance and overall market conditions.
Generated
News
Options Activity
Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
-0.54
Correlation (SPY)
-10.1%
R²
0.01
Ann. Volatility
72.2%
SPY Volatility
13.5%

Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

53 filers24,860,574 shares$240.30M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 LINDEN ADVISORS LP 1,865,000 $19.25M 8.01% — 2026-06-30
2 Hudson Bay Capital Management LP 1,500,000 $15.48M 6.44% — 2026-06-30
3 RLH Capital LLC 1,424,960 $14.72M 6.13% — 2026-06-30
4 MMCAP International Inc. SPC 1,400,000 $14.46M 6.02% — 2026-06-30
5 TENOR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT Co., L.P. 1,250,000 $12.91M 5.37% — 2026-06-30
6 Crossingbridge Advisors, LLC 1,235,944 $12.77M 5.31% — 2026-06-30
7 MIZUHO SECURITIES USA LLC 1,031,980 $10.66M 4.43% — 2026-06-30
8 Magnetar Financial LLC 1,000,000 $10.32M 4.29% — 2026-06-30
9 RiverPark Advisors, LLC 960,944 $9.92M 4.13% — 2026-06-30
10 Quarry LP 907,556 $9.38M 3.90% — 2026-06-30
11 AQR Arbitrage LLC 778,144 $8.03M 3.34% — 2026-06-30
12 PICTON MAHONEY ASSET MANAGEMENT 750,000 $7.75M 3.22% — 2026-06-30
13 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 750,000 $7.75M 3.22% — 2026-06-30
14 Alberta Investment Management Corp 750,000 $7.74M 3.22% — 2026-06-30
15 Mercuria Capital Strategies, LLC 535,000 $5.53M 2.30% — 2026-06-30
16 Wealthspring Capital LLC 511,520 $5.28M 2.20% — 2026-06-30
17 LMR Partners LLP 500,000 $5.17M 2.15% — 2026-06-30
18 First Trust Capital Management L.P. 500,000 $5.17M 2.15% — 2026-06-30
19 HIGHBRIDGE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 474,010 $4.90M 2.04% — 2026-06-30
20 CSS LLC/IL 454,422 $4.69M 1.95% — 2026-06-30
21 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 434,727 $4.49M 1.87% — 2026-06-30
22 Polar Asset Management Partners Inc. 400,000 $4.13M 1.72% — 2026-06-30
23 TORONTO DOMINION BANK 363,200 $3.75M 1.56% — 2026-06-30
24 Shaolin Capital Management LLC 352,978 $3.65M 1.52% — 2026-06-30
25 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 329,800 $3.41M 1.42% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-08-14
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-08-14 Inflection Point Holdings III LLC Director Award (A) +25,449,999 — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
1 insider · @ $3.95
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Inflection Point Holdings III LLC Director 8,983,333 $35.48M $0 1 2026-08-14
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.