JEF · Expected Move

Jefferies Financial Group Inc.

The expected move for JEF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

JEF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current JEF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.20
7-Day Straddle
$2.65
30-Day ATM IV
39.7%
IV Rank
41%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to JEF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
JEF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261005 $5.20 $2.65 39.7% 41%
20261002 $2.92 $2.92 39.9% 42%
20261001 $3.03 $3.03 42.0% 56%
20260930 $3.08 $3.08 39.5% 39%
20260929 $3.45 $3.45 40.7% 47%
20260928 $4.50 $4.50 48.5% 100%
20260925 $4.35 $4.35 46.3% 92%
20260924 $4.22 $4.22 44.7% 81%
20260923 $4.42 $4.42 45.2% 85%
20260922 $4.67 $4.67 46.7% 95%
20260921 $4.75 $4.75 46.3% 93%
20260918 $4.93 $0.98 46.4% 93%
20260917 $4.95 $1.20 45.6% 88%
20260916 $4.93 $1.38 45.9% 90%
20260915 $5.38 $2.25 45.4% 86%
20260914 $5.58 $1.98 47.3% 100%
20260911 $5.42 $1.95 42.3% 63%
20260910 $5.90 $2.45 42.1% 61%
20260909 $6.15 $2.45 43.2% 70%
20260908 $5.90 $2.70 40.6% 51%
20260904 $6.00 $2.77 38.7% 37%
20260903 $6.08 $2.90 38.6% 36%
20260902 $2.97 $2.97 37.9% 31%
20260901 $3.30 $3.30 39.9% 46%
20260831 $3.02 $3.02 37.4% 27%
20260828 $3.32 $3.32 35.5% 13%
20260827 $3.40 $3.40 36.0% 17%
20260826 $3.47 $3.47 35.3% 11%
20260825 $3.58 $3.58 36.2% 18%
20260824 $3.90 $3.90 37.1% 25%
20260821 $4.18 $0.50 36.5% 20%
20260820 $4.17 $1.05 35.6% 14%
20260819 $4.25 $1.55 33.9% 1%
20260818 $4.30 $1.88 34.1% 3%
20260817 $4.47 $1.73 34.3% 4%
20260814 $4.75 $1.82 34.7% 6%
20260813 $4.90 $2.47 33.7% 0%
20260812 $5.42 $2.65 38.9% 21%
20260811 $5.07 $2.70 36.2% 2%
20260810 $5.58 $2.78 38.3% 13%
20260807 — — 35.9% 0%
20260806 $6.42 $4.10 40.8% 19%
20260805 $3.97 $3.97 40.1% 16%
20260804 $4.10 $4.10 41.1% 20%
20260803 $3.95 $3.95 38.3% 7%
20260731 $4.05 $4.05 38.4% 8%
20260730 $4.45 $4.45 40.2% 10%
20260729 $4.62 $4.62 41.5% 13%
20260728 $5.00 $5.00 42.2% 15%
20260727 $5.00 $5.00 40.9% 12%
20260724 $5.03 $5.03 39.9% 9%
20260723 $5.22 $5.22 41.1% 12%
20260722 $5.38 $5.38 41.3% 13%
20260721 $5.53 $5.53 41.4% 13%
20260720 $5.53 $5.53 42.5% 16%
20260716 $5.97 $1.95 41.6% 14%
20260715 $5.90 $2.00 40.8% 11%
20260714 $5.80 $2.42 41.3% 13%
20260713 $6.20 $2.12 45.5% 24%
20260710 $5.67 $2.05 39.9% 9%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.