MGC · Expected Move

Vanguard Morningstar Mega Cap ETF · ETF

The expected move for MGC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

MGC straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current MGC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$9.65
7-Day Straddle
$9.65
30-Day ATM IV
14.8%
IV Rank
43%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MGC's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
MGC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $9.65 $9.65 14.8% 43%
20261020 $9.50 $9.50 14.9% 28%
20261019 $9.65 $9.65 15.0% 29%
20261016 $12.00 $1.93 16.5% 49%
20261015 $10.60 $2.22 14.9% 27%
20261014 $10.70 $3.22 14.8% 27%
20261013 $11.25 $3.75 13.9% 15%
20261012 $10.15 $3.65 13.9% 14%
20261009 $10.55 $3.72 13.6% 11%
20261008 $11.60 $4.30 14.1% 18%
20261007 $10.90 $4.35 13.7% 12%
20261006 $11.65 $4.70 14.3% 19%
20261005 $12.35 $5.67 14.2% 19%
20261002 $5.60 $5.60 14.2% 18%
20261001 $6.45 $6.45 15.0% 29%
20260930 $7.58 $7.58 15.1% 30%
20260929 $6.67 $6.67 14.8% 26%
20260928 $6.95 $6.95 14.7% 25%
20260925 $6.57 $6.57 13.0% 2%
20260924 $7.38 $7.38 13.9% 15%
20260923 $7.25 $7.25 13.4% 8%
20260922 $7.55 $7.55 12.8% 0%
20260921 $8.18 $8.18 13.3% 6%
20260918 $8.45 $4.80 12.9% 0%
20260917 $8.95 $2.38 13.6% 8%
20260916 $9.38 $3.72 14.8% 25%
20260915 $9.50 $3.88 14.8% 25%
20260914 $9.65 $4.12 14.6% 22%
20260911 $10.22 $4.75 14.1% 15%
20260910 $10.65 $5.35 15.4% 33%
20260909 $10.50 $5.32 14.6% 23%
20260908 $10.45 $5.60 13.8% 12%
20260904 $10.07 $5.15 12.9% 0%
20260903 $10.20 $5.60 13.0% 0%
20260902 $6.62 $6.62 13.8% 11%
20260901 $7.05 $7.05 14.3% 18%
20260831 $6.85 $6.85 13.3% 4%
20260828 $7.00 $7.00 13.0% 0%
20260827 $6.85 $6.85 13.2% 1%
20260826 $7.70 $7.70 14.0% 12%
20260825 $8.05 $8.05 14.0% 13%
20260824 $8.20 $8.20 14.3% 16%
20260821 $8.55 $4.40 13.8% 10%
20260820 $8.43 $1.90 13.7% 8%
20260819 $9.38 $2.90 13.7% 9%
20260818 $9.53 $3.40 14.1% 14%
20260817 $9.00 $3.32 13.8% 10%
20260814 $9.45 $3.05 13.4% 4%
20260813 $9.95 $3.75 13.8% 8%
20260812 $9.95 $4.20 14.0% 10%
20260811 $10.88 $5.40 13.9% 10%
20260810 $10.75 $4.97 14.4% 14%
20260807 — — 13.8% 6%
20260806 $11.25 $6.40 14.6% 11%
20260805 $7.55 $7.55 14.8% 12%
20260804 $7.30 $7.30 15.1% 14%
20260803 $7.70 $7.70 14.5% 10%
20260731 $5.90 $5.90 13.7% 4%
20260730 $7.85 $7.85 14.8% 12%
20260729 $9.57 $9.57 17.5% 31%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.