MP · Expected Move
MP Materials Corp.
The expected move for MP is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
MP straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current MP Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$6.03
7-Day Straddle
$2.88
30-Day ATM IV
58.3%
IV Rank
16%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MP's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
MP Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261008 | $6.03 | $2.88 | 58.3% | 16% |
| 20261007 | $6.21 | $3.10 | 58.0% | 15% |
| 20261006 | $6.74 | $3.46 | 58.1% | 15% |
| 20261005 | $6.45 | $2.25 | 57.5% | 14% |
| 20261002 | $5.63 | $2.66 | 55.5% | 7% |
| 20261001 | $5.72 | $2.97 | 56.2% | 10% |
| 20260930 | $5.99 | $3.42 | 55.4% | 7% |
| 20260929 | $5.89 | $3.48 | 54.3% | 4% |
| 20260928 | $6.18 | $2.29 | 55.7% | 8% |
| 20260925 | $5.70 | $2.80 | 53.1% | 0% |
| 20260924 | $6.10 | $3.21 | 55.5% | 5% |
| 20260923 | $6.04 | $3.51 | 54.1% | 0% |
| 20260922 | $6.85 | $4.36 | 58.5% | 10% |
| 20260921 | $6.93 | $2.93 | 59.0% | 11% |
| 20260918 | $5.79 | $2.50 | 55.6% | 0% |
| 20260917 | $6.68 | $3.44 | 59.0% | 3% |
| 20260916 | $6.69 | $3.80 | 58.2% | 0% |
| 20260915 | $7.05 | $4.07 | 60.7% | 0% |
| 20260914 | $7.45 | $3.08 | 61.9% | 4% |
| 20260911 | $6.83 | $3.26 | 60.9% | 0% |
| 20260910 | $7.55 | $3.87 | 64.5% | 2% |
| 20260909 | $8.62 | $4.79 | 68.6% | 21% |
| 20260908 | $8.95 | $4.99 | 73.1% | 42% |
| 20260904 | $8.82 | $3.49 | 68.3% | 19% |
| 20260903 | $8.60 | $3.96 | 69.4% | 25% |
| 20260902 | $8.36 | $4.34 | 66.6% | 11% |
| 20260901 | $8.23 | $4.50 | 65.2% | 5% |
| 20260831 | $8.55 | $3.17 | 65.5% | 7% |
| 20260828 | $8.15 | $4.10 | 66.4% | 11% |
| 20260827 | $8.72 | $4.71 | 66.4% | 11% |
| 20260826 | $9.77 | $5.47 | 70.8% | 31% |
| 20260825 | $9.73 | $5.78 | 69.6% | 26% |
| 20260824 | $9.35 | $3.72 | 69.3% | 24% |
| 20260821 | $9.25 | $4.65 | 69.3% | 24% |
| 20260820 | $8.18 | $4.32 | 66.7% | 12% |
| 20260819 | $8.55 | $4.92 | 65.4% | 6% |
| 20260818 | $8.68 | $5.17 | 65.9% | 8% |
| 20260817 | $9.55 | $3.53 | 66.9% | 13% |
| 20260814 | $8.73 | $4.19 | 66.7% | 12% |
| 20260813 | $8.02 | $5.01 | 65.7% | 7% |
| 20260812 | $7.93 | $4.60 | 64.2% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $8.65 | $5.08 | 68.9% | 14% |
| 20260810 | $9.05 | $3.86 | 69.8% | 18% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 70.8% | 24% |
| 20260806 | $8.38 | $5.36 | 77.2% | 57% |
| 20260805 | $8.88 | $5.44 | 81.4% | 80% |
| 20260804 | $8.32 | $5.50 | 76.5% | 55% |
| 20260803 | $8.02 | $3.92 | 76.9% | 57% |
| 20260731 | $6.81 | $4.29 | 75.9% | 52% |
| 20260730 | $7.10 | $4.29 | 75.6% | 50% |
| 20260729 | $6.83 | $4.20 | 78.7% | 67% |
| 20260728 | $7.50 | $4.55 | 77.5% | 60% |
| 20260727 | $7.70 | $2.94 | 77.2% | 59% |
| 20260724 | $6.70 | $3.09 | 72.9% | 37% |
| 20260723 | $7.60 | $3.65 | 75.7% | 51% |
| 20260722 | $7.73 | $4.13 | 76.2% | 54% |
| 20260721 | $8.65 | $3.97 | 78.3% | 64% |
| 20260720 | $9.38 | $3.08 | 85.3% | 100% |
| 20260716 | $7.13 | $3.68 | 72.2% | 52% |
| 20260715 | $8.07 | $4.10 | 71.4% | 45% |
More on MP
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.