MPC · Expected Move
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
The expected move for MPC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
MPC straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current MPC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$62.45
7-Day Straddle
$2.42
30-Day ATM IV
52.9%
IV Rank
95%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MPC's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
MPC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261016 | $62.45 | $2.42 | 52.9% | 95% |
| 20261015 | $64.50 | $10.90 | 53.8% | 100% |
| 20261014 | $63.90 | $13.60 | 52.3% | 96% |
| 20261013 | $64.65 | $17.90 | 52.4% | 97% |
| 20261012 | $57.40 | $17.80 | 48.0% | 72% |
| 20261009 | $62.65 | $22.80 | 50.4% | 86% |
| 20261008 | $67.00 | $26.30 | 52.5% | 97% |
| 20261007 | $63.25 | $26.10 | 51.1% | 89% |
| 20261006 | $60.85 | $26.10 | 49.7% | 82% |
| 20261005 | $62.50 | $28.60 | 50.3% | 85% |
| 20261002 | $30.60 | $30.60 | 50.5% | 86% |
| 20261001 | $32.30 | $32.30 | 50.4% | 85% |
| 20260930 | $31.20 | $31.20 | 48.4% | 75% |
| 20260929 | $33.50 | $33.50 | 50.6% | 87% |
| 20260928 | $33.45 | $33.45 | 50.3% | 85% |
| 20260925 | $36.50 | $36.50 | 49.7% | 82% |
| 20260924 | $39.10 | $39.10 | 52.0% | 95% |
| 20260923 | $38.90 | $38.90 | 50.5% | 86% |
| 20260922 | $39.10 | $39.10 | 50.3% | 85% |
| 20260921 | $43.95 | $43.95 | 53.0% | 100% |
| 20260918 | $46.90 | $4.15 | 49.6% | 81% |
| 20260917 | $48.75 | $10.70 | 51.3% | 91% |
| 20260916 | $50.70 | $16.30 | 53.0% | 100% |
| 20260915 | $49.15 | $18.05 | 51.7% | 100% |
| 20260914 | $47.15 | $19.20 | 49.4% | 100% |
| 20260911 | $46.20 | $20.05 | 46.8% | 94% |
| 20260910 | $46.25 | $21.25 | 46.7% | 94% |
| 20260909 | $48.00 | $23.60 | 47.5% | 100% |
| 20260908 | $48.20 | $24.65 | 46.8% | 100% |
| 20260904 | $47.10 | $25.70 | 44.3% | 80% |
| 20260903 | $47.40 | $27.35 | 44.2% | 80% |
| 20260902 | $28.25 | $28.25 | 44.5% | 82% |
| 20260901 | $29.55 | $29.55 | 46.5% | 100% |
| 20260831 | $28.70 | $28.70 | 43.5% | 80% |
| 20260828 | $29.65 | $29.65 | 42.6% | 72% |
| 20260827 | $29.55 | $29.55 | 41.8% | 64% |
| 20260826 | $29.90 | $29.90 | 41.9% | 65% |
| 20260825 | $30.15 | $30.15 | 41.2% | 58% |
| 20260824 | $31.05 | $31.05 | 41.3% | 59% |
| 20260821 | $32.20 | $2.58 | 40.7% | 54% |
| 20260820 | $31.35 | $6.90 | 39.1% | 39% |
| 20260819 | $33.10 | $9.20 | 40.3% | 49% |
| 20260818 | $35.60 | $13.25 | 41.2% | 58% |
| 20260817 | $34.75 | $14.45 | 41.0% | 56% |
| 20260814 | $35.00 | $15.70 | 39.2% | 39% |
| 20260813 | $37.55 | $18.10 | 41.1% | 58% |
| 20260812 | $36.20 | $17.70 | 40.6% | 53% |
| 20260811 | $35.30 | $18.95 | 40.2% | 49% |
| 20260810 | $32.25 | $18.25 | 38.9% | 37% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 37.7% | 25% |
| 20260806 | $31.50 | $20.30 | 40.0% | 47% |
| 20260805 | $21.05 | $21.05 | 40.0% | 47% |
| 20260804 | $23.60 | $23.60 | 42.4% | 70% |
| 20260803 | $25.60 | $25.60 | 43.7% | 82% |
| 20260731 | $27.20 | $27.20 | 43.2% | 77% |
| 20260730 | $28.80 | $28.80 | 43.9% | 84% |
| 20260729 | $28.60 | $28.60 | 44.6% | 90% |
| 20260728 | $28.90 | $28.90 | 44.0% | 85% |
| 20260727 | $29.85 | $29.85 | 45.0% | 94% |
| 20260724 | $30.90 | $30.90 | 45.0% | 94% |
More on MPC
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.