MSFT · Expected Move
Microsoft Corp
The expected move for MSFT is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
MSFT straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current MSFT Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$37.80
7-Day Straddle
$14.78
30-Day ATM IV
32.1%
IV Rank
37%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MSFT's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
MSFT Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261016 | $37.80 | $14.78 | 32.1% | 37% |
| 20261015 | $37.92 | $12.07 | 31.2% | 33% |
| 20261014 | $38.00 | $14.68 | 31.2% | 33% |
| 20261013 | $38.03 | $11.80 | 30.3% | 30% |
| 20261012 | $39.42 | $13.27 | 31.1% | 33% |
| 20261009 | $37.83 | $13.45 | 31.8% | 36% |
| 20261008 | $38.33 | $12.85 | 32.2% | 38% |
| 20261007 | $39.40 | $12.93 | 32.6% | 39% |
| 20261006 | $39.58 | $11.88 | 32.2% | 38% |
| 20261005 | $40.85 | $13.62 | 33.3% | 42% |
| 20261002 | $37.17 | $13.05 | 32.3% | 38% |
| 20261001 | $38.90 | $13.12 | 33.5% | 43% |
| 20260930 | $40.20 | $14.90 | 34.1% | 46% |
| 20260929 | $40.25 | $13.90 | 33.3% | 43% |
| 20260928 | $40.27 | $15.20 | 32.0% | 37% |
| 20260925 | $29.40 | $15.00 | 28.1% | 20% |
| 20260924 | $28.05 | $11.97 | 26.4% | 13% |
| 20260923 | $29.73 | $13.90 | 26.0% | 11% |
| 20260922 | $29.35 | $11.85 | 25.2% | 7% |
| 20260921 | $30.30 | $13.70 | 25.5% | 9% |
| 20260918 | $25.65 | $12.32 | 23.7% | 1% |
| 20260917 | $26.85 | $11.43 | 24.0% | 2% |
| 20260916 | $28.75 | $13.62 | 25.5% | 9% |
| 20260915 | $29.73 | $12.05 | 25.4% | 9% |
| 20260914 | $30.00 | $13.45 | 25.0% | 6% |
| 20260911 | $25.65 | $12.68 | 23.5% | 0% |
| 20260910 | $28.85 | $12.57 | 25.8% | 8% |
| 20260909 | $28.65 | $13.97 | 25.3% | 6% |
| 20260908 | $29.30 | $12.18 | 25.5% | 7% |
| 20260904 | $26.45 | $12.00 | 23.9% | 0% |
| 20260903 | $27.38 | $10.38 | 24.0% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $27.80 | $11.72 | 24.4% | 2% |
| 20260901 | $28.38 | $13.25 | 24.2% | 1% |
| 20260831 | $29.40 | $14.65 | 24.4% | 2% |
| 20260828 | $27.23 | $13.22 | 24.0% | 0% |
| 20260827 | $28.50 | $12.45 | 24.9% | 1% |
| 20260826 | $28.12 | $13.43 | 24.7% | 0% |
| 20260825 | $29.23 | $11.72 | 25.2% | 2% |
| 20260824 | $29.98 | $13.20 | 25.8% | 5% |
| 20260821 | $27.20 | $13.57 | 25.5% | 4% |
| 20260820 | $28.55 | $11.85 | 26.2% | 7% |
| 20260819 | $28.43 | $13.53 | 25.7% | 4% |
| 20260818 | $29.65 | $11.77 | 26.1% | 6% |
| 20260817 | $30.07 | $12.95 | 26.5% | 8% |
| 20260814 | $26.93 | $12.25 | 24.7% | 0% |
| 20260813 | $28.62 | $11.93 | 25.5% | 0% |
| 20260812 | $29.25 | $13.30 | 25.7% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $30.20 | $12.25 | 25.9% | 0% |
| 20260810 | $32.85 | $14.27 | 27.6% | 7% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 27.8% | 7% |
| 20260806 | $33.25 | $16.62 | 29.7% | 22% |
| 20260805 | $33.17 | $16.88 | 29.8% | 22% |
| 20260804 | $35.25 | $15.53 | 30.7% | 26% |
| 20260803 | $35.25 | $17.05 | 30.5% | 25% |
| 20260731 | $30.82 | $16.55 | 30.1% | 23% |
| 20260730 | $33.05 | $17.23 | 32.4% | 34% |
| 20260729 | $39.97 | $29.65 | 44.8% | 92% |
| 20260728 | $40.03 | $29.05 | 44.1% | 88% |
| 20260727 | $39.20 | $29.07 | 43.4% | 85% |
| 20260724 | $36.42 | $27.50 | 42.6% | 82% |
More on MSFT
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.