MSFW · Expected Move
Roundhill MSFT WeeklyPay ETF · ETF
The expected move for MSFW is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
MSFW straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current MSFW Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.18
7-Day Straddle
$1.33
30-Day ATM IV
34.3%
IV Rank
8%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MSFW's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
MSFW Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261009 | $3.18 | $1.33 | 34.3% | 8% |
| 20261008 | $3.22 | $1.33 | 34.4% | 8% |
| 20261007 | $3.42 | $1.40 | 34.7% | 8% |
| 20261006 | $3.42 | $1.45 | 34.5% | 8% |
| 20261005 | $3.62 | $1.55 | 35.6% | 9% |
| 20261002 | $1.58 | $1.58 | 33.4% | 7% |
| 20261001 | $1.62 | $1.62 | 35.3% | 9% |
| 20260930 | $1.70 | $1.70 | 34.6% | 8% |
| 20260929 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 33.9% | 7% |
| 20260928 | $1.80 | $1.80 | 34.4% | 8% |
| 20260925 | $2.05 | $2.05 | 34.6% | 8% |
| 20260924 | $1.85 | $1.85 | 31.3% | 5% |
| 20260923 | $1.85 | $1.85 | 29.9% | 3% |
| 20260922 | $1.98 | $1.98 | 30.5% | 4% |
| 20260921 | $1.95 | $1.95 | 31.7% | 5% |
| 20260918 | $1.92 | $10.00 | 29.3% | 3% |
| 20260917 | $2.15 | $1.05 | 29.8% | 3% |
| 20260916 | $2.10 | $1.10 | 29.0% | 2% |
| 20260915 | $2.20 | $1.15 | 28.2% | 1% |
| 20260914 | $2.42 | $1.38 | 29.3% | 2% |
| 20260911 | $2.33 | $1.27 | — | — |
| 20260910 | $2.62 | $1.45 | 29.2% | 2% |
| 20260909 | $2.67 | $1.50 | 34.0% | 7% |
| 20260908 | $2.58 | $1.48 | 33.7% | 6% |
| 20260904 | $2.65 | $1.48 | 27.6% | 1% |
| 20260903 | $2.58 | $1.48 | 27.0% | 0% |
| 20260902 | $1.60 | $1.60 | 31.6% | 4% |
| 20260901 | $1.73 | $1.73 | 33.1% | 6% |
| 20260831 | $1.62 | $1.62 | 26.7% | 0% |
| 20260828 | $2.00 | $2.00 | 27.2% | 0% |
| 20260827 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 34.9% | 4% |
| 20260826 | $2.02 | $2.02 | 40.4% | 9% |
| 20260825 | $2.15 | $2.15 | 37.8% | 7% |
| 20260824 | $2.27 | $2.27 | 36.7% | 6% |
| 20260821 | $2.35 | $5.43 | 34.1% | 4% |
| 20260820 | $2.17 | $1.35 | 32.1% | 2% |
| 20260819 | $2.33 | $1.30 | 32.8% | 3% |
| 20260818 | $2.52 | $1.48 | 32.6% | 2% |
| 20260817 | $2.22 | $1.48 | 44.2% | 12% |
| 20260814 | $2.45 | $1.50 | 31.1% | 1% |
| 20260813 | $2.47 | $1.50 | 30.8% | 1% |
| 20260812 | $2.55 | $1.88 | 29.7% | 0% |
| 20260811 | $2.58 | $5.90 | 32.2% | 0% |
| 20260810 | $3.45 | $2.42 | 46.1% | 11% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 44.1% | 10% |
| 20260806 | $7.05 | $2.70 | 46.2% | 11% |
| 20260805 | $2.73 | $2.73 | 50.6% | 15% |
| 20260804 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 50.0% | 14% |
| 20260803 | $2.67 | $2.67 | 51.0% | 15% |
| 20260731 | $2.75 | $2.75 | 56.2% | 20% |
| 20260730 | $2.10 | $2.10 | 95.9% | 53% |
| 20260729 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 63.9% | 26% |
| 20260728 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 61.6% | 24% |
| 20260727 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 68.9% | 30% |
| 20260724 | $3.38 | $3.38 | 69.9% | 31% |
| 20260723 | $3.30 | $3.30 | 70.2% | 31% |
| 20260722 | $3.35 | $3.35 | 61.9% | 24% |
| 20260721 | $2.90 | $2.90 | 48.5% | 13% |
| 20260720 | $2.77 | $2.77 | 62.9% | 25% |
| 20260716 | $2.85 | $1.93 | 56.8% | 20% |
More on MSFW
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.