MST · Expected Move
Defiance Leveraged Long Income MSTR ETF · ETF
The expected move for MST is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).
MST straddle price & implied vol
60 sessionsBars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).
Current MST Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$4.60
7-Day Straddle
$1.80
30-Day ATM IV
111.2%
IV Rank
22%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MST's realized
move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime)
or too little (premium-buying regime). The
Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by
this measure.
MST Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
| Date | 30D Straddle | 7D Straddle | ATM IV | IV Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20261009 | $4.60 | $1.80 | 111.2% | 22% |
| 20261008 | $4.33 | $1.73 | 109.7% | 21% |
| 20261007 | $4.55 | $1.90 | 112.7% | 23% |
| 20261006 | $5.30 | $2.35 | 110.6% | 22% |
| 20261005 | $5.33 | $2.65 | 110.1% | 21% |
| 20261002 | $2.70 | $2.70 | 106.8% | 18% |
| 20261001 | $2.80 | $2.80 | 118.0% | 27% |
| 20260930 | $2.55 | $2.55 | 114.3% | 24% |
| 20260929 | $2.83 | $2.83 | 114.6% | 25% |
| 20260928 | $3.25 | $3.25 | 115.8% | 26% |
| 20260925 | $3.40 | $3.40 | 115.5% | 25% |
| 20260924 | $3.60 | $3.60 | 117.6% | 27% |
| 20260923 | $3.67 | $3.67 | 116.0% | 26% |
| 20260922 | $4.17 | $4.17 | 122.0% | 31% |
| 20260921 | $4.88 | $4.88 | 130.9% | 38% |
| 20260918 | $3.92 | $4.58 | 115.8% | 26% |
| 20260917 | $3.00 | $1.00 | — | — |
| 20260916 | $3.20 | $1.12 | 121.8% | 30% |
| 20260915 | $3.25 | $1.65 | 123.3% | 32% |
| 20260914 | $3.68 | $1.92 | 117.2% | 27% |
| 20260911 | $3.45 | $1.62 | 117.2% | 27% |
| 20260910 | $3.35 | $1.77 | 121.0% | 30% |
| 20260909 | $4.10 | $1.82 | 134.5% | 41% |
| 20260908 | $4.20 | $2.35 | 127.2% | 35% |
| 20260904 | $4.60 | $2.67 | 124.8% | 33% |
| 20260903 | $5.17 | $3.00 | 130.3% | 37% |
| 20260902 | $2.05 | $2.05 | 109.3% | 20% |
| 20260901 | $1.92 | $1.92 | 118.3% | 28% |
| 20260831 | $2.58 | $2.58 | 121.4% | 30% |
| 20260828 | $2.90 | $2.90 | 120.7% | 30% |
| 20260827 | $3.45 | $3.45 | 127.6% | 35% |
| 20260826 | $2.85 | $2.85 | 118.1% | 27% |
| 20260825 | $3.15 | $3.15 | 128.6% | 36% |
| 20260824 | $3.42 | $3.42 | 134.0% | 40% |
| 20260821 | $3.35 | $11.85 | 137.7% | 43% |
| 20260820 | $2.90 | $8.82 | 125.9% | 34% |
| 20260819 | $2.65 | $12.85 | 132.2% | 39% |
| 20260818 | $2.45 | $7.22 | 115.8% | 26% |
| 20260817 | $2.20 | $6.90 | 112.9% | 23% |
| 20260814 | $2.55 | $7.22 | 110.0% | 21% |
| 20260813 | $2.25 | $7.22 | 113.3% | 24% |
| 20260812 | $2.35 | $7.12 | 117.2% | 27% |
| 20260811 | $2.42 | $8.18 | 117.8% | 27% |
| 20260810 | $3.48 | $8.12 | 135.4% | 41% |
| 20260807 | — | — | 130.7% | 38% |
| 20260806 | $3.00 | $7.22 | 117.4% | 27% |
| 20260805 | $7.28 | $7.28 | 83.7% | 0% |
| 20260804 | $8.22 | $8.22 | 135.4% | 28% |
| 20260803 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 146.2% | 39% |
| 20260731 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 135.9% | 29% |
| 20260730 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 131.3% | 24% |
| 20260729 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 148.0% | 41% |
| 20260728 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 192.4% | 84% |
| 20260727 | $8.22 | $8.22 | 155.6% | 53% |
| 20260724 | $11.85 | $11.85 | 209.0% | 47% |
| 20260723 | $7.22 | $7.22 | 148.4% | 22% |
| 20260722 | $8.12 | $8.12 | 203.3% | 45% |
| 20260721 | $8.12 | $8.12 | 165.5% | 29% |
| 20260720 | $8.22 | $8.22 | 143.9% | 20% |
| 20260716 | $7.22 | $1.90 | 139.2% | 18% |
More on MST
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.