MTBA · Expected Move

Simplify MBS ETF · ETF

The expected move for MTBA is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

MTBA straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current MTBA Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.98
7-Day Straddle
$1.98
30-Day ATM IV
8.3%
IV Rank
13%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MTBA's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
MTBA Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261021 $1.98 $1.98 8.3% 13%
20261020 $2.08 $2.08 7.1% 7%
20261019 $1.95 $1.95 8.0% 12%
20261016 $1.95 $3.50 6.9% 6%
20261015 $1.95 $1.85 12.3% 34%
20261014 $2.00 $1.70 7.3% 8%
20261013 $1.40 $1.80 7.6% 10%
20261012 $1.45 $1.80 7.9% 11%
20261009 $2.00 $1.83 9.4% 19%
20261008 $2.17 $1.77 8.4% 14%
20261007 $2.00 $1.80 9.3% 19%
20261006 $2.25 $1.32 8.3% 13%
20261005 $2.30 $1.90 8.4% 14%
20261002 $1.80 $1.80 10.6% 25%
20261001 $1.85 $1.85 9.2% 18%
20260930 $1.93 $1.93 13.4% 40%
20260929 $1.92 $1.92 10.6% 26%
20260928 $1.90 $1.90 14.3% 45%
20260925 $1.83 $1.83 8.2% 13%
20260924 $1.77 $1.77 9.0% 17%
20260923 $1.88 $1.88 12.7% 37%
20260922 $1.25 $1.25 8.0% 12%
20260921 $1.25 $1.25 7.9% 11%
20260918 $1.30 $1.20 7.4% 9%
20260917 $3.35 $1.77 7.7% 10%
20260916 $1.05 $1.20 6.9% 6%
20260915 $1.93 $1.85 11.9% 32%
20260914 $2.85 $1.15 7.2% 7%
20260911 $2.40 $2.50 10.2% 23%
20260910 $1.90 $1.82 6.4% 3%
20260909 $1.40 $1.40 7.4% 9%
20260908 $6.00 $6.00 8.1% 12%
20260904 $2.05 $1.45 9.9% 22%
20260903 $6.00 $1.43 11.0% 28%
20260902 $1.43 $1.43 8.9% 16%
20260901 $3.52 $3.52 9.7% 21%
20260831 $2.58 $2.58 10.7% 26%
20260828 $3.10 $3.10 13.0% 38%
20260827 $1.23 $1.23 16.1% 55%
20260826 $1.25 $1.25 15.2% 50%
20260825 $1.30 $1.30 17.0% 59%
20260824 $1.38 $1.38 18.2% 66%
20260821 $1.43 $1.65 14.2% 45%
20260820 $1.35 $1.38 17.5% 63%
20260819 $0.80 $1.93 18.1% 66%
20260818 $1.27 $1.82 18.5% 68%
20260817 $1.48 $1.62 14.5% 46%
20260814 $1.32 $1.42 15.3% 50%
20260813 $1.32 $1.57 16.3% 56%
20260812 $1.32 $1.42 14.6% 47%
20260811 $1.43 $1.62 14.0% 44%
20260810 $1.52 $2.00 16.2% 56%
20260807 — — 14.7% 47%
20260806 $1.73 $2.38 15.5% 52%
20260805 $1.60 $1.60 14.9% 48%
20260804 $1.48 $1.48 15.2% 50%
20260803 $1.95 $1.95 13.9% 43%
20260731 $2.45 $2.45 18.8% 69%
20260730 $1.65 $1.65 20.3% 77%
20260729 $1.90 $1.90 19.2% 72%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.