MUR · Expected Move

Murphy Oil Corp.

The expected move for MUR is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

MUR straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current MUR Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$5.05
7-Day Straddle
$0.75
30-Day ATM IV
47.9%
IV Rank
46%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to MUR's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
MUR Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $5.05 $0.75 47.9% 46%
20261015 $4.65 $1.30 46.5% 40%
20261014 $4.25 $1.35 — —
20261013 $4.75 $1.70 45.7% 36%
20261012 $4.57 $1.27 43.8% 28%
20261009 $4.30 $2.10 41.1% 16%
20261008 $4.80 $2.20 46.6% 40%
20261007 $4.42 $2.08 42.9% 24%
20261006 $5.25 $2.38 48.8% 50%
20261005 $4.92 $2.20 44.8% 32%
20261002 $2.42 $2.42 43.0% 25%
20261001 $2.47 $2.47 45.2% 34%
20260930 $2.65 $2.65 44.2% 30%
20260929 $2.88 $2.88 44.7% 32%
20260928 $2.88 $2.88 46.2% 38%
20260925 $3.30 $3.30 44.1% 29%
20260924 $3.25 $3.25 44.4% 31%
20260923 $2.85 $2.85 42.8% 23%
20260922 $2.80 $2.80 42.0% 20%
20260921 $3.40 $3.40 44.3% 30%
20260918 $3.45 $0.48 41.9% 20%
20260917 $3.97 $0.95 46.8% 41%
20260916 $3.92 $1.50 44.9% 33%
20260915 $3.95 $1.48 42.1% 21%
20260914 $3.27 $1.60 37.3% 0%
20260911 $3.90 $1.85 41.0% 13%
20260910 $4.22 $2.53 42.2% 18%
20260909 $3.92 $1.95 40.4% 10%
20260908 $4.05 $2.12 42.2% 18%
20260904 $4.08 $2.75 41.8% 17%
20260903 $4.25 $2.30 40.9% 12%
20260902 $2.38 $2.38 38.1% 0%
20260901 $2.78 $2.78 41.5% 12%
20260831 $2.92 $2.92 41.9% 14%
20260828 $2.67 $2.67 40.8% 8%
20260827 $2.85 $2.85 40.1% 5%
20260826 $2.70 $2.70 40.0% 5%
20260825 $2.65 $2.65 39.3% 2%
20260824 $3.05 $3.05 40.1% 5%
20260821 $3.30 $1.12 40.2% 6%
20260820 $3.58 $1.35 41.4% 11%
20260819 $3.40 $1.98 39.2% 1%
20260818 $3.17 $1.70 39.0% 0%
20260817 $4.10 $1.95 49.0% 46%
20260814 $3.70 $1.50 42.5% 15%
20260813 $3.45 $1.65 39.4% 0%
20260812 $3.50 $2.27 40.5% 0%
20260811 $3.77 $2.00 41.8% 0%
20260810 $4.20 $2.12 43.0% 7%
20260807 — — 42.1% 2%
20260806 $4.55 $3.05 49.3% 40%
20260805 $4.08 $4.08 60.5% 100%
20260804 $3.70 $3.70 50.6% 65%
20260803 $3.70 $3.70 49.5% 58%
20260731 $4.28 $4.28 52.0% 76%
20260730 $3.90 $3.90 50.5% 65%
20260729 $2.97 $2.97 46.0% 31%
20260728 $4.05 $4.05 52.9% 83%
20260727 $3.70 $3.70 44.6% 21%
20260724 $4.55 $4.55 48.8% 53%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.