MUZ Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MU ETF

ETF

ETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Fibonacci levels

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MUZ — —
Key stats
About

Defiance Daily Target 2X Short MU ETF (MUZ) ETF

No description available.

Exchange
ARCX
Inception
2026-06-08
Has Options
No
Fund profile
through Jul 2026flows, SEC filings
Resets to −2x its benchmark's return each day. Over longer periods the result compounds and can differ sharply from −2x the benchmark, especially when it is volatile. Decay analysis
Expense ratio
—
Assets
—
Trailing yield
—
Average daily volume
$78M
30 sessions
Holdings
—
Listed
Jun 8, 2026
NYSE Arca
Closure risk, 12 months
2.1%
low: volatility, single-stock fund, trailing return · model

Stated objective. The Fund seeks daily inverse investment results, before fees and expenses, of -2 times (-200%) the daily percentage change in the share price of Micron Technology, Inc. (Nasdaq: MU). The Fund does not seek to achieve its stated investment objective for a period other than a single trading day. (from the fund's prospectus)

Flow historyOverlap toolAll Single-Stock Inverse ETFs

Fund flows
through Jul 2026SEC filings
Jul 2026
−$26M
latest reported month
Latest 3 months
+$11M
+74.3% of assets
Latest 12 months
—
Jun 2026: +$36M+$36MJunJul 2026: −$26M−$26MJul
View as a table
Net flows of MUZ by month, Jun 2026 to Jul 2026
MonthNet flow
Jul 2026−$26M
Jun 2026+$36M

Net creations and redemptions from the fund's SEC filings, which become public about 60 days after each quarter. Every month since 2 months ago

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The largest other funds in the Single-Stock Inverse category.

ETF Profile
Chart
Seasonality
Month'26Avg
Jan----
Feb----
Mar----
Apr----
May----
Jun-51.92%-51.92%
Jul17.77%17.77%
Aug-31.25%-31.25%
Sep-29.48%-29.48%
Oct11.82%*11.82%
Nov----
Dec----
Total-69.30%-69.30%
* Only 1 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $7.33
SMA 50: $8.95
SMA 200: —
Current: $7.19
EMA 12: $7.03
EMA 26: $7.67
MACD: -0.6376 | Signal: 0.1461
BEARISH
ADX (14): 13.65
RANGE
+DI: 25.02
−DI: 21.87

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 44.48
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 48.68
Stoch %D: 33.85
Williams %R: -28.20

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $9.24
BB Lower: $5.42
NEUTRAL
OBV: -39,180,780
Vol SMA 20: 10,854,649
Vol ROC: 8.92%
ATR: $0.73
True Range: $0.51
HV 20: 96.4%
HV 30: 96.2%
HV 60: 157.2%

Data Summary

Data Points: 86
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2026-06-09T00:00:00 – 2026-10-09T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Click Frenzy-Pro™ for an AI analysis of this ticker.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

MUZ Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: -7.0751
Alpha: -33.32%
Correlation: -0.4964
R-Squared: 24.6%
Stock Volatility: 173.2%
Market Volatility: 12.1%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 85
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Negative beta - stock moves opposite to market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

MUZ Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

7 filers559,398 shares$5.59M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 HRT FINANCIAL LP 210,875 $2.11M 37.69% — 2026-06-30
2 Optiver Holding B.V. 126,690 $1.27M 22.65% — 2026-06-30
3 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian 76,028 $760.28K 13.59% — 2026-06-30
4 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian 69,677 $696.77K 12.46% — 2026-06-30
5 StoneX Group Inc. 42,838 $428.38K 7.66% — 2026-06-30
6 TWO SIGMA SECURITIES, LLC 33,289 $332.89K 5.95% — 2026-06-30
7 UBS Group AG Custodian 1 $10 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
Constituent Performance

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Constituents
Symbol Name Weight % Price 1 Day 1 Week 1 Month