NDX · Expected Move

Nasdaq 100 · Index

The expected move for NDX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NDX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NDX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1791.80
7-Day Straddle
$1037.35
30-Day ATM IV
29.1%
IV Rank
76%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NDX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NDX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261106 $1791.80 $1037.35 29.1% 76%
20261105 $2013.00 $1292.50 33.2% 100%
20261104 $1463.30 $758.25 22.6% 56%
20261103 $1729.20 $1024.70 27.0% 95%
20261102 $1742.40 $1029.55 27.4% 95%
20261030 $1612.40 $946.75 24.8% 67%
20261029 $0.00 $0.00 20.8% 35%
20261028 $1422.80 $422.25 20.9% 36%
20261027 $1451.25 $703.75 21.7% 42%
20261026 $1535.95 $757.25 23.0% 52%
20261023 $1640.75 $884.60 24.6% 65%
20261022 $1621.00 $922.00 25.0% 68%
20261021 $1436.95 $709.25 21.2% 38%
20261020 $1462.00 $678.15 21.8% 43%
20261019 $1445.25 $666.35 21.6% 39%
20261016 $1502.30 $759.80 22.4% 46%
20261015 $1344.90 $606.90 19.9% 27%
20261014 $1376.45 $616.50 20.2% 29%
20261013 $1285.70 $525.90 18.4% 16%
20261012 $1274.15 $490.55 18.2% 14%
20261009 $1259.25 $475.95 17.7% 11%
20261008 $1333.35 $554.20 19.2% 22%
20261007 $1321.05 $498.15 18.6% 17%
20261006 $1323.60 $477.65 18.5% 17%
20261005 $1335.30 $496.95 18.8% 19%
20261002 $1308.00 $518.55 18.4% 16%
20261001 $1359.65 $601.00 19.8% 26%
20260930 $1371.10 $613.20 19.8% 26%
20260929 $1332.50 $591.40 19.3% 23%
20260928 $1295.80 $581.75 18.8% 19%
20260925 $1237.85 $572.25 17.6% 10%
20260924 $1253.50 $573.85 18.2% 14%
20260923 $1275.35 $532.40 18.3% 15%
20260922 $1228.55 $495.90 17.5% 9%
20260921 $1210.25 $496.25 17.4% 9%
20260918 $1108.35 $443.10 16.3% 0%
20260917 $1121.65 $478.95 17.1% 4%
20260916 $1204.45 $595.70 19.0% 19%
20260915 $1250.50 $601.95 19.0% 25%
20260914 $1230.00 $570.65 18.6% 22%
20260911 $1178.10 $512.60 17.4% 13%
20260910 $1327.85 $675.85 20.2% 34%
20260909 $1289.25 $603.40 19.2% 26%
20260908 $1231.70 $526.10 18.3% 20%
20260904 $1142.15 $442.35 16.8% 9%
20260903 $1130.50 $428.90 17.0% 11%
20260902 $1194.75 $455.45 18.0% 18%
20260901 $1212.15 $490.20 18.3% 20%
20260831 $1114.40 $463.20 16.6% 8%
20260828 $1130.15 $473.25 16.7% 9%
20260827 $1169.65 $506.00 17.5% 14%
20260826 $1259.50 $569.95 18.8% 24%
20260825 $1253.90 $564.50 18.8% 24%
20260824 $1289.35 $583.20 19.4% 31%
20260821 $1269.60 $554.55 18.8% 27%
20260820 $1295.70 $608.00 19.9% 34%
20260819 $1283.50 $523.15 19.2% 29%
20260818 $1317.15 $525.00 19.6% 33%
20260817 $1257.00 $467.00 18.4% 24%
20260814 $1233.50 $432.45 17.8% 21%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.