NFLY · Expected Move

YieldMax NFLX Option Income Strategy ETF · ETF

The expected move for NFLY is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NFLY straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NFLY Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.85
7-Day Straddle
$0.85
30-Day ATM IV
62.6%
IV Rank
60%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NFLY's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NFLY Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260302 $0.85 $0.85 62.6% 60%
20260227 $1.10 $1.10 89.7% 100%
20260226 $0.98 $0.98 47.3% 54%
20260225 $1.18 $1.18 43.6% 46%
20260224 $1.70 $1.70 61.4% 83%
20260223 $1.02 $1.02 50.9% 61%
20260221 $1.52 $1.52 — —
20260220 $1.52 $0.65 61.9% 85%
20260219 $1.70 $1.12 69.2% 100%
20260218 $1.18 $1.12 44.2% 49%
20260217 $1.18 $0.88 54.0% 70%
20260213 $1.27 $0.75 45.9% 52%
20260212 $1.40 $1.02 53.3% 69%
20260211 $1.05 $0.77 45.5% 52%
20260210 $1.10 $1.12 47.1% 55%
20260209 $1.23 $0.75 46.6% 54%
20260206 $1.40 $1.38 51.5% 65%
20260205 $1.20 $1.05 49.7% 61%
20260204 $0.73 $0.73 30.6% 19%
20260203 $0.88 $0.88 41.1% 42%
20260202 $1.07 $1.07 45.3% 51%
20260130 $1.10 $1.10 43.7% 48%
20260129 $1.20 $1.20 45.1% 51%
20260128 $1.45 $1.45 40.2% 40%
20260127 $0.88 $0.88 49.3% 60%
20260126 $1.10 $1.10 29.6% 16%
20260123 $1.40 $1.40 32.5% 23%
20260122 $5.45 $5.45 29.3% 16%
20260121 $1.18 $1.18 41.0% 41%
20260120 $1.07 $1.07 35.4% 29%
20260116 $1.77 $5.65 45.6% 52%
20260115 $1.30 $5.65 38.4% 36%
20260114 $1.27 $5.50 39.6% 39%
20260113 $1.60 $0.60 33.6% 25%
20260112 $1.80 $1.05 61.1% 86%
20260109 $5.90 $1.00 67.4% 100%
20260108 $1.38 $1.18 55.8% 84%
20260107 $1.55 $0.67 53.5% 79%
20260106 $1.98 $0.75 58.1% 69%
20260105 $1.90 $0.53 52.9% 59%
20260102 $0.72 $0.72 51.2% 56%
20251231 $5.65 $5.65 59.1% 71%
20251230 $5.38 $5.38 59.5% 72%
20251229 $5.45 $5.45 59.8% 72%
20251226 $0.82 $0.82 44.0% 44%
20251224 $0.72 $0.72 43.4% 43%
20251223 $0.57 $0.57 39.2% 36%
20251222 $1.05 $1.05 49.2% 53%
20251219 $1.57 $1.10 46.6% 49%
20251218 $5.75 $1.10 48.5% 52%
20251217 $1.23 $1.15 46.0% 48%
20251216 $1.60 $1.23 55.1% 64%
20251215 $1.60 $1.20 54.6% 63%
20251212 $1.65 $1.15 52.6% 59%
20251211 $1.45 $0.93 46.1% 48%
20251210 $1.20 $0.88 42.4% 41%
20251209 $1.43 $1.00 62.2% 76%
20251208 $1.65 $1.05 50.7% 56%
20251205 $1.20 $0.95 29.2% 18%
20251204 $1.35 $0.68 32.3% 24%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.