NIOBW NioCorp Developments Ltd. Warrant

XNAS
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading

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NIOBW — —
Key stats
About
Industry (SIC)
METAL MINING (1000) · industry map
Exchange
XNAS
Employees
14
List Date
2023-03-21
CIK
0001512228
Headquarters
Centennial, CO
Homepage
https://www.niocorp.com

NioCorp Developments Ltd is engaged in exploration and development of mineral deposits in North America, specifically, the Elk Creek Niobium/Scandium/Titanium property. The company has one reportable segment: the United States, which conducts exploration, development, and care and maintenance activities at the Elk Creek Project.

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan---16.27%37.36%22.11%14.40%
Feb---4.31%52.17%-20.32%9.18%
Mar-6.03%-7.10%-4.19%-16.59%-8.48%
Apr-7.06%1.27%105.83%22.93%30.74%
May2.56%24.97%-26.83%-6.00%-1.32%
Jun-3.00%-42.93%18.00%-33.33%-15.31%
Jul-6.45%-65.91%50.54%-30.43%-13.06%
Aug-27.05%24.23%22.68%-4.47%3.85%
Sep27.91%22.43%126.24%-42.64%33.48%
Oct-10.71%0.00%28.96%-38.24%*-5.00%
Nov0.13%-36.41%29.01%---2.42%
Dec15.22%16.25%-4.62%--8.95%
Total-21.87%-79.39%2259.69%-85.28%518.29%
* Only 4 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $0.60
SMA 50: $0.99
SMA 200: $1.67
Current: $0.42
EMA 12: $0.53
EMA 26: $0.68
MACD: -0.1422 | Signal: 0.0075
BEARISH
ADX (14): 11.39
RANGE
+DI: 21.79
−DI: 28.84

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 32.30
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 17.64
Stoch %D: 19.77
Williams %R: -83.01

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $0.83
BB Lower: $0.37
NEUTRAL
OBV: 2,668,055
Vol SMA 20: 12,510
Vol ROC: 238.27%
ATR: $0.14
True Range: $0.11
HV 20: 170.5%
HV 30: 183.6%
HV 60: 156.6%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-08-29T00:00:00 – 2026-10-26T00:00:00
AI Analysis

LLM Stock Analysis Report: NIOBW

Executive Summary

BULLISH (Confidence Level: 8/10)

Key Drivers:

  • Positive news sentiment surrounding recent announcements
  • Strong technical indicators, including ascending SMAs and bullish MACD crossover
  • High beta indicating high volatility, which may be a catalyst for future price movements

Primary Risks:

  • Unusual options activity may indicate insider buying or selling
  • Recent negative news headlines from Zacks Investment Research (August 31) could impact sentiment

Investment Thesis: NIOBW is poised to benefit from strong technical momentum and positive market sentiment, driven by recent announcements. However, caution should be exercised due to high volatility and potential options activity.

Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines have been largely bullish, contributing to the stock's upward momentum.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Short-term: Uptrend; Medium-term: Uptrend; Long-term: Uptrend

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Upper Bollinger Band: $1.74
  • Middle Line (SMA 50): $1.35
  • Lower Bollinger Band: $0.97

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI: 44.26 (neutral)
  • MACD signal line crossover above zero (bullish)
  • Bollinger Bands: Neutral, with price hovering near the middle line

Volume Analysis: Volume is increasing, indicating institutional interest and potentially a catalyst for future price movements.

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary:

  • Positive news headlines surrounding recent announcements from USAR's Stillwater Facility and Energy Fuels' ASM buy
  • Neutral headlines highlighting NIOBW's potential growth and critical minerals industry developments

Sentiment Assessment: POSITIVE (8/10)

Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings dates, regulatory changes, and product launches could impact sentiment and price movements.

Market Narrative: Recent news headlines have been largely positive, contributing to the stock's upward momentum. This narrative is supported by strong technical indicators.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: Beta 3.49 indicates high volatility relative to market (SPY).

Volatility Regime: High volatility - stock moves more than market.

Options Market Signals: No options data available, but unusually high IV premium suggests potential insider activity or market manipulation.

Downside Protection: Support levels at $0.97 and $1.35 may provide some protection against potential price drops.

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: Critical Minerals sector is strong, with NIOBW outperforming peers.

Institutional Activity: Volume is increasing, indicating institutional interest and potentially a catalyst for future price movements.

Correlation Analysis: Correlation with SPY is low (0.31), suggesting potential diversification benefits.

Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, with recent highs above $1.74 and lows near $0.97.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Upper Bollinger Band: $1.74
  • Middle Line (SMA 50): $1.35
  • Lower Bollinger Band: $0.97

Breakout/Breakdown Levels:

  • Breakout above upper Bollinger Band ($1.74) could trigger a new uptrend
  • Breakdown below lower Bollinger Band ($0.97) could indicate a new downtrend

Time-Sensitive Catalysts:

  • Earnings dates (TBA)
  • Regulatory changes (TBA)
  • Product launches (TBA)

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $1.35 and position sizing considerations to manage potential losses.

Note: The analysis is based on the provided data and may not reflect real-world market conditions or actual stock performance.

Generated

NIOBW Options Activity & IV Rank

Loading options activity...
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 3.8559
Alpha: -171.68%
Correlation: 0.3608
R-Squared: 13.0%
Stock Volatility: 136.7%
Market Volatility: 12.8%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 238
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

NIOBW Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-06-30

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

22 filers3,906,941 shares$7.85M value
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BOOTHBAY FUND MANAGEMENT, LLC 600,000 $2.89M 36.83% — 2026-06-30
2 ARISTEIA CAPITAL, L.L.C. 695,216 $959.40K 12.22% — 2026-06-30
3 Caption Management, LLC 668,553 $935.97K 11.92% — 2026-06-30
4 Altshuler Shaham Ltd 449,999 $630.00K 8.02% — 2026-06-30
5 PEAK6 LLC 352,780 $493.89K 6.29% — 2026-06-30
6 Oasis Management Co Ltd. 100,000 $482.00K 6.14% — 2026-06-30
7 Blue Owl Capital Holdings LP 268,280 $380.96K 4.85% — 2026-06-30
8 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian 201,038 $281.45K 3.58% — 2026-06-30
9 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 198,304 $277.63K 3.54% — 2026-06-30
10 Linden Advisors LP 194,210 $267.04K 3.40% — 2026-06-30
11 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 44,211 $62.78K 0.80% — 2026-06-30
12 Limestone Investment Advisors LP 42,921 $60.09K 0.77% — 2026-06-30
13 Virtu Financial LLC 28,101 $40.00K 0.51% — 2026-06-30
14 NewEdge Advisors, LLC 18,313 $25.64K 0.33% — 2026-06-30
15 VR Advisory Services Ltd 15,356 $21.50K 0.27% — 2026-06-30
16 Sanctuary Advisors, LLC 10,000 $14.00K 0.18% — 2026-06-30
17 Modern Wealth Management, LLC 10,000 $14.00K 0.18% — 2026-06-30
18 UBS Group AG Custodian 5,134 $7.19K 0.09% — 2026-06-30
19 EQUITEC PROPRIETARY MARKETS, LLC 4,000 $5.60K 0.07% — 2026-06-30
20 PITTENGER & ANDERSON INC 300 $420 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
21 TD Capital Management LLC 150 $210 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
22 OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. Custodian 75 $105 <0.01% — 2026-06-30
1 filers$462.00K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Millennium Management LLC Custodian $462.00K 100.00% 2026-06-30
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period

NIOBW Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2025-12-15
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2025-12-15 Mark A. Smith President & CEO Exer (X) +46,801 $3.54 $165.7K EDGAR
2025-12-15 Neal S. Shah Chief Financial Officer Exer (X) +9,361 $3.54 $33.1K EDGAR
2025-12-15 Dean C Kehler Director Exer (X) +78,003 $3.54 $276.1K EDGAR
2025-09-05 Ernest M. Cleave Senior VP Business Development Grant (A) +100,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-09-02 Anthony W Fulton Director Grant (A) +50,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 James T. Sims Chief Communications Officer Grant (A) +250,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Neal S. Shah Chief Financial Officer Grant (A) +250,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Peter Robert Oliver Director Grant (A) +60,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Mark A. Smith President & CEO Grant (A) +375,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Michael G. Maselli Director Grant (A) +50,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Scott Honan Chief Operating Officer Grant (A) +250,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Dean C Kehler Director Grant (A) +50,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 David Coates Beling Director Grant (A) +50,000 opt — EDGAR
2025-08-20 Nilsa Guerrero-Mahon Director Grant (A) +55,000 opt — EDGAR
2024-12-23 Nilsa Guerrero-Mahon Director Grant (A) +75,000 opt — EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

NIOBW Insider Holdings

6 insiders · @ $0.42
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Mark A. Smith President & CEO 2,318,819 $973.9K $0 7 2025-12-15
2 Michael G. Maselli Director 613,081 $257.5K $0 5 2025-08-20
3 Dean C Kehler Director 212,583 $89.3K $0 7 2025-12-15
4 David Coates Beling Director 100,891 $42.4K $0 5 2025-08-20
5 Neal S. Shah Chief Financial Officer 75,032 $31.5K $0 7 2025-12-15
6 Scott Honan Chief Operating Officer 55,762 $23.4K $0 5 2025-08-20
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.