NREF · Expected Move

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.

The expected move for NREF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NREF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: average implied volatility (right axis).

Current NREF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.82
7-Day Straddle
$1.82
Avg IV
210.8%
IV Rank
78%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NREF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NREF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleAvg IVIV Rank
20260929 $1.82 $1.82 210.8% 78%
20260928 $1.65 $1.65 239.3% 94%
20260925 $2.20 $2.20 100.4% 16%
20260924 $1.85 $1.85 250.0% 100%
20260923 $2.20 $2.20 228.4% 90%
20260922 $1.45 $1.45 180.4% 62%
20260921 $1.80 $1.80 160.5% 51%
20260918 $1.60 $1.45 235.5% 94%
20260917 $1.68 $1.65 137.8% 38%
20260916 $2.17 $1.75 232.4% 92%
20260915 $1.85 $1.05 187.5% 66%
20260914 $2.78 $1.20 99.1% 16%
20260911 $2.10 $1.27 158.3% 50%
20260910 $2.17 $1.50 147.9% 44%
20260909 $2.40 $1.25 153.7% 47%
20260908 $1.73 $1.75 145.6% 42%
20260904 $1.52 $1.38 121.2% 29%
20260903 $1.70 $1.33 135.5% 37%
20260902 $1.30 $1.30 187.8% 66%
20260901 $1.32 $1.32 176.2% 60%
20260831 $1.12 $1.12 193.3% 70%
20260828 $1.42 $1.42 183.9% 64%
20260827 $1.65 $1.65 118.6% 27%
20260826 $1.55 $1.55 170.1% 56%
20260825 $1.62 $1.62 170.2% 57%
20260824 $1.65 $1.65 114.7% 25%
20260821 $2.25 $1.20 177.7% 61%
20260820 $1.62 $0.85 177.3% 61%
20260819 $1.75 $1.40 102.2% 18%
20260818 $1.85 $0.82 131.3% 34%
20260817 $1.55 $0.95 126.8% 32%
20260814 $1.60 $1.10 128.9% 33%
20260813 $3.03 $1.65 103.0% 18%
20260812 $2.35 $1.12 131.3% 34%
20260811 $1.62 $1.35 143.7% 41%
20260810 $1.88 $1.48 162.3% 50%
20260806 $3.45 $1.68 125.6% 27%
20260805 $2.08 $2.08 246.6% 87%
20260804 $2.08 $2.08 237.9% 83%
20260803 $2.15 $2.15 202.3% 65%
20260731 $2.27 $2.27 190.0% 59%
20260730 $2.23 $2.23 200.4% 64%
20260729 $2.23 $2.23 201.5% 65%
20260728 $2.18 $2.18 166.6% 48%
20260727 $1.35 $1.35 166.9% 48%
20260724 $2.95 $2.95 157.6% 43%
20260723 $2.38 $2.38 181.3% 55%
20260722 $2.38 $2.38 167.6% 48%
20260721 $1.45 $1.45 132.6% 31%
20260720 $0.88 $0.88 165.1% 47%
20260716 $1.30 $1.07 153.2% 41%
20260715 $1.20 $1.70 123.5% 26%
20260714 $1.27 $1.45 123.6% 26%
20260713 $2.02 $1.32 133.7% 31%
20260710 $2.60 $1.93 126.3% 27%
20260709 $2.95 $1.45 71.2% 0%
20260708 $2.70 $1.68 148.0% 38%
20260707 $1.90 $1.78 112.9% 21%
20260706 $2.12 $1.32 138.2% 33%
20260702 $1.43 $1.43 207.3% 68%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.