NREF · Expected Move

NexPoint Real Estate Finance, Inc.

The expected move for NREF is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NREF straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NREF Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.38
7-Day Straddle
$1.23
30-Day ATM IV
46.7%
IV Rank
23%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NREF's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NREF Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261113 $1.38 $1.23 46.7% 23%
20261112 $2.58 $1.60 61.8% 45%
20261111 $2.25 $1.85 67.2% 53%
20261110 $2.55 $1.70 55.2% 35%
20261109 $2.00 $1.50 52.4% 31%
20261106 $2.10 $1.93 58.4% 40%
20261105 $2.92 $2.53 70.9% 59%
20261104 $2.55 $2.55 67.8% 56%
20261103 $1.48 $1.48 52.8% 34%
20261102 $2.00 $2.00 62.4% 48%
20261030 $3.15 $3.15 62.0% 47%
20261029 $2.12 $2.12 67.3% 55%
20261028 $2.35 $2.35 60.7% 45%
20261027 $2.30 $2.30 69.5% 58%
20261026 $1.68 $1.68 50.3% 30%
20261023 $2.50 $2.50 69.5% 58%
20261022 $1.95 $1.95 50.2% 30%
20261021 $2.52 $2.52 64.6% 51%
20261020 $1.75 $1.75 50.6% 31%
20261019 $2.53 $2.53 51.5% 32%
20261016 $1.62 $1.38 37.1% 11%
20261015 $2.15 $0.75 50.6% 31%
20261014 $1.75 $1.20 45.9% 24%
20261013 $2.38 $1.52 40.3% 16%
20261012 $2.45 $1.45 42.8% 20%
20261009 $1.92 $0.95 55.6% 38%
20261008 $1.62 $1.35 48.4% 28%
20261007 $1.85 $1.35 45.5% 24%
20261006 $2.85 $1.75 42.5% 19%
20261005 $2.30 $1.73 61.4% 46%
20261002 $1.73 $1.73 57.9% 41%
20261001 $1.80 $1.80 49.1% 29%
20260930 $1.52 $1.52 57.8% 41%
20260929 $1.82 $1.82 55.0% 37%
20260928 $1.65 $1.65 54.4% 36%
20260925 $2.20 $2.20 68.5% 57%
20260924 $1.85 $1.85 75.5% 67%
20260923 $2.20 $2.20 64.8% 51%
20260922 $1.45 $1.45 80.1% 73%
20260921 $1.80 $1.80 49.0% 31%
20260918 $1.60 $1.45 82.1% 77%
20260917 $1.68 $1.65 63.5% 51%
20260916 $2.17 $1.75 84.6% 80%
20260915 $1.85 $1.05 98.7% 100%
20260914 $2.78 $1.20 68.7% 79%
20260911 $2.10 $1.27 48.5% 41%
20260910 $2.17 $1.50 37.2% 20%
20260909 $2.40 $1.25 54.8% 50%
20260908 $1.73 $1.75 39.6% 23%
20260904 $1.52 $1.38 34.3% 14%
20260903 $1.70 $1.33 36.1% 14%
20260902 $1.30 $1.30 33.2% 10%
20260901 $1.32 $1.32 36.7% 15%
20260831 $1.12 $1.12 47.5% 31%
20260828 $1.42 $1.42 36.8% 15%
20260827 $1.65 $1.65 40.1% 19%
20260826 $1.55 $1.55 41.0% 20%
20260825 $1.62 $1.62 45.2% 26%
20260824 $1.65 $1.65 39.6% 18%
20260821 $2.25 $1.20 60.5% 48%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.