NTB · Expected Move

The Bank of N.T. Butterfield & Son Limited

The expected move for NTB is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NTB straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NTB Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.75
7-Day Straddle
$3.75
30-Day ATM IV
28.5%
IV Rank
32%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NTB's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NTB Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $3.75 $3.75 28.5% 32%
20261022 $5.08 $5.08 29.5% 35%
20261021 $4.12 $4.12 30.5% 38%
20261020 $4.38 $4.38 36.4% 54%
20261019 $3.55 $3.55 30.4% 38%
20261016 $5.15 $2.70 30.1% 37%
20261015 $5.00 $2.50 30.0% 37%
20261014 $5.70 $2.50 26.8% 28%
20261013 $5.30 $2.55 26.4% 27%
20261012 $4.22 $2.60 26.8% 28%
20261009 $6.20 $2.92 27.1% 29%
20261008 $5.88 $2.67 27.1% 29%
20261007 $6.00 $3.30 32.2% 42%
20261006 $4.03 $1.48 24.6% 22%
20261005 $5.40 $1.95 27.1% 29%
20261002 $1.38 $1.38 28.0% 31%
20261001 $3.10 $3.10 28.3% 32%
20260930 $1.95 $1.95 28.2% 32%
20260929 $1.80 $1.80 27.4% 29%
20260928 $1.65 $1.65 23.3% 18%
20260925 $1.70 $1.70 23.0% 18%
20260924 $2.05 $2.05 25.3% 24%
20260923 $2.20 $2.20 27.8% 31%
20260922 $1.78 $1.78 26.6% 27%
20260921 $1.82 $1.82 22.1% 15%
20260918 $2.05 $2.77 21.9% 15%
20260917 $2.10 $2.92 18.5% 5%
20260916 $3.02 $3.95 22.3% 16%
20260915 $2.53 $4.80 18.9% 6%
20260914 $2.52 $4.80 18.1% 4%
20260911 $2.48 $3.20 19.1% 7%
20260910 $2.95 $4.80 19.8% 9%
20260909 $2.45 $3.58 19.0% 7%
20260908 $3.23 $4.17 23.0% 18%
20260904 $3.72 $4.90 27.0% 28%
20260903 $3.70 $4.80 22.2% 16%
20260902 $4.88 $4.88 23.6% 19%
20260901 $2.47 $2.47 21.0% 12%
20260831 $4.80 $4.80 24.8% 23%
20260828 $4.88 $4.88 30.2% 37%
20260827 $4.85 $4.85 26.3% 27%
20260826 $4.85 $4.85 26.3% 27%
20260825 $4.80 $4.80 41.3% 67%
20260824 $3.33 $3.33 28.9% 33%
20260821 $4.80 $3.60 24.7% 22%
20260820 $4.50 $3.95 25.9% 25%
20260819 $4.08 $3.60 53.4% 100%
20260818 $5.25 $3.43 19.5% 13%
20260817 $4.90 $4.85 19.2% 12%
20260814 $4.80 $4.82 16.7% 1%
20260813 $4.75 $4.80 16.5% 0%
20260812 $4.05 $3.02 22.6% 14%
20260811 $3.80 $4.70 21.8% 10%
20260810 $3.77 $5.05 23.9% 18%
20260807 — — 23.3% 16%
20260806 $5.17 $4.80 22.9% 15%
20260805 $5.15 $5.15 23.6% 17%
20260804 $5.05 $5.05 22.7% 14%
20260803 $3.78 $3.78 25.9% 27%
20260731 $5.45 $5.45 26.1% 27%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.