NTRL · Expected Move

First Trust Equity Market Neutral ETF · ETF

The expected move for NTRL is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NTRL straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NTRL Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
—
7-Day Straddle
—
30-Day ATM IV
50.0%
IV Rank
100%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NTRL's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NTRL Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20240220 — — 50.0% 100%
20240216 — — 27.4% 37%
20240215 — — 24.3% 28%
20240214 — — 38.5% 70%
20240213 — — 37.0% 65%
20240212 — — 43.8% 85%
20240209 — — 39.0% 71%
20240208 — — 40.9% 76%
20240207 — — 44.0% 86%
20240206 — — 40.2% 74%
20240205 — — 30.8% 47%
20240202 — — 42.7% 82%
20240201 — — 43.3% 84%
20240131 — — 41.8% 79%
20240130 — — 42.0% 80%
20240129 — — 45.1% 89%
20240126 — — 43.0% 83%
20240125 — — 43.0% 83%
20240124 — — 45.0% 89%
20240123 — — 44.7% 88%
20240122 — — 48.6% 99%
20240119 — — 42.6% 82%
20240118 — — 43.9% 85%
20240117 — — 43.8% 85%
20240116 — — 42.2% 80%
20240112 — — 41.8% 79%
20240111 — — 41.7% 79%
20240109 — — 39.6% 73%
20240108 — — 40.0% 74%
20240105 — — 37.9% 68%
20240104 — — 38.7% 70%
20240103 — — 37.7% 67%
20240102 — — 39.4% 72%
20231229 — — 38.1% 68%
20231228 — — 48.9% 100%
20231227 — — 34.9% 85%
20231226 — — 34.9% 85%
20231222 — — 34.4% 83%
20231221 — — 34.7% 84%
20231220 — — 35.1% 86%
20231219 — — 36.3% 91%
20231218 — — 36.1% 90%
20231215 — — 35.1% 86%
20231214 — — 35.6% 88%
20231213 — — 34.0% 81%
20231212 — — 34.3% 83%
20231211 — — 34.8% 84%
20231208 — — 36.5% 92%
20231207 — — 37.0% 94%
20231206 — — 37.4% 96%
20231205 — — 37.8% 97%
20231204 — — 37.5% 96%
20231201 — — 36.2% 91%
20231130 — — 36.3% —
20231129 — — 36.1% —
20231128 — — 36.4% —
20231127 — — 35.8% —
20231124 — — 38.4% —
20231122 — — 37.5% —
20231121 — — 36.4% —

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.