NVS · Expected Move

Novartis AG

The expected move for NVS is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

NVS straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current NVS Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$9.40
7-Day Straddle
$9.40
30-Day ATM IV
27.9%
IV Rank
44%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to NVS's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
NVS Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261023 $9.40 $9.40 27.9% 44%
20261022 $10.20 $10.20 28.5% 48%
20261021 $9.50 $9.50 27.0% 38%
20261020 $10.85 $10.85 29.4% 55%
20261019 $9.45 $9.45 26.7% 36%
20261016 $9.80 $0.47 26.3% 33%
20261015 $9.90 $1.92 26.5% 34%
20261014 $9.85 $2.88 25.9% 30%
20261013 $9.55 $3.48 25.5% 27%
20261012 $9.55 $3.23 25.4% 26%
20261009 $9.75 $3.70 24.7% 22%
20261008 $10.10 $4.20 25.4% 26%
20261007 $9.90 $4.33 24.8% 22%
20261006 $9.95 $4.30 24.8% 22%
20261005 $10.25 $4.70 25.2% 25%
20261002 $5.12 $5.12 24.8% 22%
20261001 $5.40 $5.40 24.8% 22%
20260930 $5.75 $5.75 24.6% 21%
20260929 $5.62 $5.62 24.2% 18%
20260928 $5.97 $5.97 23.7% 14%
20260925 $5.88 $5.88 22.8% 8%
20260924 $6.20 $6.20 23.2% 11%
20260923 $6.65 $6.65 22.9% 9%
20260922 $6.42 $6.42 22.5% 6%
20260921 $7.20 $7.20 23.8% 15%
20260918 $6.75 $1.12 21.7% 0%
20260917 $6.97 $1.77 21.7% 0%
20260916 $7.00 $2.30 22.0% 1%
20260915 $7.40 $2.85 22.9% 8%
20260914 $7.75 $3.12 23.5% 12%
20260911 $7.75 $3.68 21.8% 0%
20260910 $8.28 $4.55 23.0% 5%
20260909 $8.38 $4.58 23.0% 5%
20260908 $9.10 $5.45 25.6% 24%
20260904 $12.40 $7.45 29.1% 50%
20260903 $12.45 $7.80 28.0% 42%
20260902 $8.05 $8.05 27.5% 38%
20260901 $8.85 $8.85 30.3% 59%
20260831 $10.55 $10.55 35.9% 100%
20260828 $10.45 $10.45 33.9% 100%
20260827 $9.80 $9.80 31.7% 81%
20260826 $10.25 $10.25 31.3% 78%
20260825 $11.40 $11.40 33.9% 100%
20260824 $10.55 $10.55 31.3% 99%
20260821 $10.65 $1.00 30.3% 89%
20260820 $11.10 $2.58 31.3% 100%
20260819 $10.90 $3.42 29.8% 100%
20260818 $10.00 $3.33 27.9% 86%
20260817 $9.85 $4.12 26.7% 67%
20260814 $10.10 $4.42 26.9% 70%
20260813 $10.60 $5.10 27.3% 77%
20260812 $11.00 $5.12 27.9% 86%
20260811 $10.75 $5.47 27.0% 71%
20260810 $11.30 $6.10 27.1% 73%
20260807 — — 26.9% 71%
20260806 $11.65 $6.70 27.4% 78%
20260805 $6.95 $6.95 27.6% 82%
20260804 $7.57 $7.57 28.1% 89%
20260803 $7.80 $7.80 28.3% 92%
20260731 $7.97 $7.97 26.6% 65%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.