OARK · Expected Move

YieldMax Innovation Option Income Strategy ETF · ETF

The expected move for OARK is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

OARK straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current OARK Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$3.02
7-Day Straddle
$3.02
30-Day ATM IV
45.7%
IV Rank
19%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to OARK's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
OARK Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20260302 $3.02 $3.02 45.7% 19%
20260227 $2.65 $2.65 48.0% 22%
20260226 $2.60 $2.60 35.0% 11%
20260225 $2.73 $2.73 36.0% 12%
20260224 $3.15 $3.15 37.4% 13%
20260223 $3.10 $3.10 42.5% 18%
20260221 $2.77 $2.77 — —
20260220 $2.77 $1.27 39.7% 16%
20260219 $2.90 $1.62 39.9% 16%
20260218 $3.42 $1.70 40.3% 16%
20260217 $3.22 $1.70 37.3% 13%
20260213 $3.25 $1.95 36.9% 13%
20260212 $3.23 $2.15 36.4% 12%
20260211 $3.28 $1.98 38.2% 14%
20260210 $3.57 $2.10 36.6% 12%
20260209 $3.65 $2.33 34.2% 10%
20260206 $3.62 $2.25 36.5% 12%
20260205 $3.40 $2.48 41.8% 18%
20260204 $2.27 $2.27 41.7% 17%
20260203 $2.45 $2.45 37.9% 14%
20260202 $2.40 $2.40 35.7% 12%
20260130 $2.33 $2.33 34.6% 11%
20260129 $2.40 $2.40 35.2% 11%
20260128 $2.92 $2.92 41.9% 18%
20260127 $2.92 $2.92 34.3% 10%
20260126 $2.50 $2.50 33.0% 9%
20260123 $2.95 $2.95 32.0% 8%
20260122 $2.95 $2.95 34.4% 10%
20260121 $2.92 $2.92 33.8% 10%
20260120 $2.83 $2.83 33.0% 9%
20260116 $3.08 $0.90 31.6% 8%
20260115 $3.12 $1.48 32.4% 8%
20260114 $3.38 $1.68 29.4% 6%
20260113 $3.52 $1.88 30.3% 6%
20260112 $3.72 $1.83 29.8% 6%
20260109 $3.25 $1.00 31.8% 8%
20260108 $3.50 $1.65 31.9% 8%
20260107 $3.48 $2.00 31.3% 7%
20260106 $3.90 $2.10 29.2% 4%
20260105 $4.03 $3.75 29.7% 4%
20260102 $1.75 $1.75 30.4% 5%
20251231 $2.15 $2.15 30.1% 5%
20251230 $2.42 $2.42 31.8% 6%
20251229 $2.55 $2.55 32.4% 6%
20251226 $2.33 $2.33 30.5% 5%
20251224 $2.35 $2.35 31.1% 5%
20251223 $2.95 $2.95 34.0% 8%
20251222 $2.85 $2.85 32.3% 6%
20251219 $3.38 $0.93 33.0% 7%
20251218 $2.75 $1.20 36.5% 9%
20251217 $2.80 $1.52 43.5% 15%
20251216 $3.65 $1.95 33.4% 7%
20251215 $2.80 $1.75 34.3% 8%
20251212 $3.60 $1.55 34.7% 8%
20251211 $3.73 $2.12 32.3% 6%
20251210 $4.00 $2.38 35.4% 9%
20251209 $4.32 $2.17 35.7% 9%
20251208 $4.00 $1.77 33.9% 7%
20251205 $3.93 $1.48 35.3% 8%
20251204 $4.08 $1.85 35.0% 8%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.