OCTV · Expected Move

Octave Intelligence plc Class B Ordinary Shares

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The expected move for OCTV is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

OCTV straddle price & implied vol

20 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current OCTV Expected Move

30-Day Straddle

$2.58

7-Day Straddle

$1.90

30-Day ATM IV

47.9%

IV Rank

28%

Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to OCTV's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.

OCTV Straddle Price — Last 60 Days

Date	30D Straddle	7D Straddle	ATM IV	IV Rank
20261109	$2.58	$1.90	47.9%	28%
20261106	$2.60	$1.77	47.0%	—
20261105	$2.73	$4.00	50.2%	—
20261104	$1.98	$1.98	44.7%	—
20261103	$2.12	$2.12	45.8%	—
20261102	$2.15	$2.15	46.4%	—
20261030	$3.17	$3.17	53.9%	—
20261029	$1.98	$1.98	47.5%	—
20261028	$1.95	$1.95	41.8%	—
20261027	$2.02	$2.02	42.4%	—
20261026	$2.23	$2.23	45.1%	—
20261023	$2.40	$2.40	46.6%	—
20261022	$3.20	$3.20	63.7%	—
20261021	$2.65	$2.65	43.9%	—
20261020	$2.40	$2.40	45.3%	—
20261019	$2.22	$2.22	52.1%	—
20261016	$2.20	$0.15	45.0%	—
20261015	$2.00	$1.80	43.7%	—
20261014	$2.23	$0.57	44.1%	—
20261013	$2.25	$0.65	43.6%	—