OILD MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exp. & Prod. -3x Inverse Leveraged ETN
ARCXStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- COMMERCIAL BANKS, NEC (6029)
- Exchange
- ARCX
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | -12.04% | 8 |
| Feb | -1.66% | 8 |
| Mar | +22.17% | 9 |
| Apr | +0.92% | 8 |
| May | +6.12% | 8 |
| Jun | +3.03% | 8 |
| Jul | -9.69% | 9 |
| Aug | -8.28% | 9 |
| Sep | -2.40% | 9 |
| Oct | -3.11% | 8 |
| Nov | +8.43% | 8 |
| Dec | +4.68% | 8 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
Here is my comprehensive stock analysis report for OILD:
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: BEARISH (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bearish momentum signals from MACD
- Weak trend strength from ADX and DMI
- Overbought RSI reading
Primary Risks:
- Potential price breakdown below $33.36 lower Bollinger Band
- Negative news sentiment impact from recent headlines
Investment Thesis: OILD is currently in a bearish trend, with weak momentum signals and overbought technical indicators. The stock's low volatility and positive beta are not enough to offset the negative news sentiment and potential price breakdown risks.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent news headlines have been generally neutral, but the positive sentiment from Healing Through Music (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-07-07) could provide some support for the stock. However, this is not enough to change my overall bearish assessment.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Short-term: Bearish Medium-term: Neutral Long-term: Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $33.36
- Middle Bollinger Band: $40.04
- Upper Bollinger Band: $46.73
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: Overbought (41.06)
- MACD: Bearish (signal line is below the histogram)
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral (price is currently touching the middle band)
Volume Analysis: Volume has been trending upward, but it's not strong enough to override the bearish momentum signals.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
- Healing Through Music (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-07-07) - Positive
- Premium Income Corporation Announces Semi-Annual Results (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-06-26) - Neutral
- NORTH AMERICAN FINANCIAL 15 SPLIT CORP. Monthly Dividend Declaration for Class A & Preferred Share (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-06-18) - Neutral
- High Tide Secures Credit Approval for C$40MM of Senior Secured Credit Facilities (Benzinga, 2026-06-15) - Neutral
- Alterra IOS Secures $244M Financing to Fuel Growth of National Industrial Outdoor Storage Platform (GlobeNewswire Inc., 2026-06-05) - Neutral
- BMO Announces Changes to its Mutual Fund Product Line-Up (Benzinga, 2026-06-03) - Positive
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (with a slight positive bias due to Healing Through Music and BMO announcements)
Catalyst Identification:
- No significant catalysts identified in recent news headlines
- Potential price breakdown below $33.36 lower Bollinger Band could be a catalyst for further selling
Market Narrative: The market narrative is generally neutral, with no strong trends or themes emerging from the recent news headlines.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Assessment:
- Beta: 0.66 (low risk relative to SPY)
- Alpha: -1.18 (high risk due to negative returns)
- Correlation: 0.13 (low correlation with market)
- Stock Volatility: 0.63 (low volatility)
Volatility Regime: The current volatility is low, which could indicate a lack of market enthusiasm for the stock.
Options Market Signals:
- No options data available
Downside Protection: Support levels include the lower Bollinger Band at $33.36 and the middle band at $40.04. Risk management considerations include setting stop-loss levels below these supports.
Market Context & Positioning
Market Context:
- Sector performance: Neutral (OILD is not a strong performer in its sector)
- Institutional activity: Low institutional interest
- Correlation analysis: OILD has low correlation with the market, which could indicate it's a contrarian play or a value opportunity
Positioning: OILD is currently trading at the lower end of its trading range. The stock's low volatility and positive beta make it an attractive value play for investors willing to take on some risk.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $33.36
- Middle Bollinger Band: $40.04
- Upper Bollinger Band: $46.73
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: The lower Bollinger Band at $33.36 is a potential breakdown level, while the upper band at $46.73 is a potential breakout level.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No time-sensitive catalysts identified in recent news headlines.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels should be set below the lower Bollinger Band at $33.36 to protect against further selling. Position sizing considerations include allocating a smaller percentage of the portfolio to OILD due to its bearish trend and low volatility.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.78
- Correlation (SPY)
- 15.2%
- R²
- 0.02
- Ann. Volatility
- 66.3%
- SPY Volatility
- 13.0%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.