ORC · Expected Move

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

The expected move for ORC is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

ORC straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current ORC Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$0.40
7-Day Straddle
$0.15
30-Day ATM IV
30.2%
IV Rank
21%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to ORC's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
ORC Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261016 $0.40 $0.15 30.2% 21%
20261015 $0.43 $0.25 31.9% 22%
20261014 $0.30 $0.17 34.0% 23%
20261013 $0.45 $0.20 33.6% 23%
20261012 $0.50 $0.17 37.1% 25%
20261009 $0.62 $0.25 44.8% 31%
20261008 $0.43 $0.33 35.9% 25%
20261007 $0.35 $0.28 32.6% 22%
20261006 $0.45 $0.30 32.7% 22%
20261005 $0.48 $0.50 33.2% 23%
20261002 $0.22 $0.22 23.4% 16%
20261001 $0.35 $0.35 47.0% 32%
20260930 $0.60 $0.60 70.1% 49%
20260929 $0.83 $0.83 — —
20260928 $0.75 $0.75 58.5% 41%
20260925 $3.08 $3.08 — —
20260924 $0.93 $0.93 59.7% 41%
20260923 $1.02 $1.02 68.0% 47%
20260922 $1.05 $1.05 — —
20260921 $1.10 $1.10 — —
20260918 $0.97 $1.07 71.2% 50%
20260917 $1.25 $1.15 — —
20260916 $0.88 $3.15 — —
20260915 $3.35 $3.08 — —
20260914 $3.70 $1.27 — —
20260911 $3.20 $3.12 — —
20260910 $1.15 $3.65 52.0% 36%
20260909 $1.07 $0.95 23.9% 16%
20260908 $1.12 $2.83 43.9% 30%
20260904 $2.95 $2.88 — —
20260903 $1.12 $0.88 84.2% 59%
20260902 $0.62 $0.62 22.0% 15%
20260901 $0.97 $0.97 — —
20260831 $0.85 $0.85 20.6% 14%
20260828 $2.83 $2.83 35.7% 24%
20260827 $2.80 $2.80 32.8% 22%
20260826 $2.88 $2.88 — —
20260825 $0.95 $0.95 37.0% 25%
20260824 $0.90 $0.90 37.1% 25%
20260821 $0.90 $2.77 1.0% 0%
20260820 $0.00 $0.00 4.8% 2%
20260819 $2.23 $1.25 — —
20260818 $0.00 $0.00 45.3% 31%
20260817 $0.00 $0.00 — —
20260814 $0.00 $0.00 142.7% 100%
20260813 $2.27 $2.83 — —
20260812 $3.00 $2.83 — —
20260811 $1.05 $2.88 — —
20260810 $8.68 $3.00 62.4% 50%
20260806 $8.68 $8.55 122.9% 100%
20260805 $8.57 $8.57 66.0% 70%
20260804 $2.40 $2.40 28.3% 29%
20260803 $1.05 $1.05 79.8% 85%
20260731 $2.97 $2.97 68.9% 74%
20260730 $3.23 $3.23 69.4% 74%
20260729 $1.05 $1.05 41.8% 44%
20260728 $8.55 $8.55 61.4% 65%
20260727 $3.50 $3.50 — —
20260724 $2.77 $2.77 79.0% 85%
20260723 $2.95 $2.95 72.2% 77%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.