PAX · Expected Move

Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares

The expected move for PAX is derived from at-the-money straddle pricing — the market's implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Comparing it to realized moves reveals when options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) vs too little (premium-buying regime).

PAX straddle price & implied vol

60 sessions

Bars: at-the-money straddle price (30-day and 7-day) — the market's priced move. Line: 30-day at-the-money implied volatility (right axis).

Current PAX Expected Move
30-Day Straddle
$1.60
7-Day Straddle
$1.60
30-Day ATM IV
55.4%
IV Rank
40%
Implied one-standard-deviation move through the next 30 days. Compare to PAX's realized move over the same window to gauge whether options are pricing in too much (premium-selling regime) or too little (premium-buying regime). The Expected Move Tracker ranks every symbol by this measure.
PAX Straddle Price — Last 60 Days
Date30D Straddle7D StraddleATM IVIV Rank
20261022 $1.60 $1.60 55.4% 40%
20261021 $1.85 $1.85 77.4% 69%
20261020 $1.60 $1.60 56.9% 42%
20261019 $1.55 $1.55 66.8% 55%
20261016 $1.65 $1.30 53.9% 38%
20261015 $1.82 $0.88 59.3% 45%
20261014 $1.82 $1.10 53.6% 38%
20261013 $1.55 $0.85 — —
20261012 $2.07 $1.35 66.7% 55%
20261009 $1.78 $1.02 58.9% 45%
20261008 $2.00 $1.40 67.8% 56%
20261007 $1.73 $1.42 85.2% 79%
20261006 $1.85 $1.70 56.6% 42%
20261005 $1.77 $0.95 55.6% 40%
20261002 $0.65 $0.65 55.5% 40%
20261001 $0.55 $0.55 46.3% 28%
20260930 $0.60 $0.60 42.9% 24%
20260929 $0.62 $0.62 45.5% 27%
20260928 $0.70 $0.70 50.0% 33%
20260925 $0.90 $0.90 52.1% 36%
20260924 $1.18 $1.18 54.3% 39%
20260923 $0.50 $0.50 24.8% 0%
20260922 $0.90 $0.90 42.8% 21%
20260921 $0.73 $0.73 40.7% 18%
20260918 $0.77 $0.25 36.2% 12%
20260917 $0.75 $0.47 33.4% 8%
20260916 $1.38 $0.88 63.4% 49%
20260915 $0.95 $0.72 — —
20260914 $1.00 $0.95 38.1% 14%
20260911 $1.45 $1.83 49.4% 30%
20260910 $1.15 $1.85 43.6% 22%
20260909 $1.02 $3.62 31.0% 5%
20260908 $1.57 $2.20 42.5% 20%
20260904 $11.55 $2.30 78.2% 69%
20260903 $1.43 $2.12 41.8% 20%
20260902 $2.42 $2.42 46.6% 26%
20260901 $1.73 $1.73 47.6% 27%
20260831 $8.57 $8.57 33.4% 8%
20260828 $1.12 $1.12 64.6% 51%
20260827 $1.02 $1.02 46.1% 25%
20260826 $0.92 $0.92 50.9% 32%
20260825 $1.40 $1.40 35.3% 11%
20260824 $1.20 $1.20 33.5% 8%
20260821 $1.20 $1.40 40.6% 18%
20260820 $2.58 $3.50 50.0% 31%
20260819 $1.20 $1.12 39.7% 17%
20260818 $1.30 $1.25 — —
20260817 $1.20 $1.07 43.6% 22%
20260814 $1.23 $1.48 101.0% 100%
20260813 $1.38 $3.17 44.9% 31%
20260812 $1.57 $1.85 50.0% 40%
20260811 $2.00 $1.32 55.7% 50%
20260810 $2.08 $2.25 56.2% 51%
20260807 — — 44.8% 31%
20260806 $1.85 $2.62 42.5% 27%
20260805 $1.53 $1.53 50.6% 41%
20260804 $2.62 $2.62 54.5% 48%
20260803 $1.45 $1.45 48.7% 38%
20260731 $1.05 $1.05 42.8% 27%
20260730 $1.77 $1.77 72.8% 81%

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.